CAVA Lowers Annual Forecast Amidst Consumer Spending Decline

The current landscape for fast-casual dining is challenging, particularly for CAVA, which recently adjusted its annual forecasts due to a decline in consumer spending. On Tuesday, CAVA reported a same-store sales increase of 1.9% for the third quarter and a 20% rise in revenue. However, both figures fell short of Wall Street expectations, with overall traffic remaining unchanged.
CAVA’s Market Performance in Q3
Despite these setbacks, CAVA’s CEO, Brett Schulman, highlighted the brand’s ability to capture significant market share since 2019. The company outperformed competitors by nearly 10%, aided by a strong consumer price index. Notably, CAVA has enjoyed substantial growth, including a remarkable 18% increase in sales during the same period last year.
Recent Product Launches and Innovations
The recent introduction of Chicken Shawarma in September has met expectations, and the chain plans to expand its protein offerings in the upcoming year. Currently testing salmon has produced positive results, according to Schulman. The company has also reported a remarkable 36% growth in its rewards program membership since its redesign.
- CAVA is implementing tiered status levels to enhance customer engagement.
- A new kitchen display system will be installed in at least 350 restaurants by year-end.
- All locations now feature TurboChef ovens for improved cooking efficiency.
Revised Annual Outlook
Despite these advancements, CAVA acknowledged slower sales momentum. CFO Tricia Tolivar noted that the moderation in sales reflects broader economic challenges affecting younger consumers, a demographic where the chain has a significant presence. Thus, CAVA adjusted its forecast for same-store sales growth to a range of 3% to 4%, a decrease from the earlier estimate of 4% to 6% issued in August.
Financial Highlights
CAVA’s financial performance for the third quarter includes:
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue | $289.8 million |
| Prior Year Revenue | $241.5 million |
| Same-Store Sales Growth | 1.9% |
| Average Unit Volume | $2.9 million |
| Restaurant-Level Profit | $71.2 million |
| Profit Margin | 24.6% |
| Digital Revenue Mix | 37.6% |
Following the announcement of these results, CAVA’s stock price fell by nearly 5%. The company’s continuing evolution amidst shifting consumer behaviors and economic pressures will be vital in navigating the upcoming quarters.


