In a recent survey, New York City Democratic mayoral nominee Zohran Mamdani has taken a significant 25-point lead over former Governor Andrew Cuomo. This poll indicates a pivotal moment in the race to replace outgoing Mayor Eric Adams.
Current Polling Figures
The Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey reveals the following breakdown among likely voters:
- Zohran Mamdani: 50%
- Andrew Cuomo: 25%
- Curtis Sliwa (Republican): 21%
- Undecided Voters: 4%
When considering undecided voters, Mamdani’s support rises to 51%. Cuomo, now an independent candidate after losing the primary to Mamdani, garners 26%. Sliwa’s standing remains unchanged at 21%.
Comparative Analysis
Mamdani’s lead has increased from 15 points noted in a prior survey in September. This change signals a shift in voter sentiment as the election date approaches. Curtis Sliwa has gained notable traction, increasing from 10% support in September.
Demographic Shifts
Mamdani’s rise in popularity appears linked to a successful outreach across critical demographic segments. Notably:
- Support among Black voters surged from 50% to 71% for Mamdani.
- Cuomo’s support among Black voters declined by ten points since September.
- 69% of voters under 50 favor Mamdani, while support among those over 50 is at 37%.
In contrast, 31% of older voters support Cuomo, and 28% back Sliwa.
Election Outlook
The survey solidifies Mamdani’s frontrunner status in the upcoming general election. Expectations are high for him to secure victory, despite continued efforts from various political factions to rally around Cuomo.
Polling Details
The Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill study was conducted from October 25-27, involving 640 respondents who have already voted or are likely voters. The margin of error for this poll is 3.8 percentage points.
As the election day approaches, the dynamics of this race could evolve, but Mamdani’s current lead positions him strongly in the pursuit of the mayor’s office.
