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West Ham’s 3-1 Win Over Newcastle Revealed by Expected Goals Stats

The debate around match performance in the Premier League often centers on Expected Goals (xG) statistics. This metric evaluates how well teams perform by estimating the number of goals they should have scored based on chances created. Various factors influence xG, including shot distance, shot type, and defensive pressure.

In a recent match on November 2, 2025, West Ham defeated Newcastle 3-1, with intriguing xG statistics supporting the outcome.

Match Overview: West Ham vs. Newcastle

West Ham emerged victorious over Newcastle at 2 pm, showcasing a solid performance. The Hammers managed an Expected Goals (xG) total of 1.41 compared to Newcastle’s 0.52, resulting in a decisive win.

Key Match Statistics

  • Final Score: West Ham 3 – 1 Newcastle
  • Goalscorers:
    • Paqueta (35′)
    • Botman (own goal, 45+5′)
    • Soucek (90+7′)
  • Possession:
    • Newcastle: 62%
    • West Ham: 38%
  • Total Shots:
    • West Ham: 15
    • Newcastle: 12
  • Shots on Target:
    • West Ham: 9
    • Newcastle: 4
  • Corners:
    • West Ham: 7
    • Newcastle: 6
  • Touches in the Opposition Box:
    • Newcastle: 22
    • West Ham: 21

Match Analysis

Despite having a lower possession rate at 38%, West Ham capitalized on their opportunities efficiently. They registered more shots and significantly more shots on target compared to Newcastle. While Newcastle controlled the ball more, their inability to convert possession into clear-cut chances hampered their performance.

This match underscores the effectiveness of the xG metric in evaluating team performances. West Ham’s approach, coupled with their statistical advantage, clearly displayed their superior striking ability, securing a well-deserved victory.

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