In the upcoming ATP Finals match, Italy’s Lorenzo Musetti faces Australia’s Alex De Minaur at the Inalpi Arena in Turin, Italy. The match is set to commence at 2:30 PM ET. Both players lost their opening group-stage matches and are eager to secure their spots in this prestigious tournament.
Musetti vs De Minaur: Match Preview
Alex De Minaur enters the match as a -300 favorite, a reflection of his recent consistency. However, it’s important to note that Musetti has triumphed over De Minaur in their last three encounters, including two victories this season.
Current Odds
- Musetti: +230
- De Minaur: -300
- Game Spread: De Minaur favored by 3.5 games
- Total Games Over/Under: 21.5
These odds were last updated on November 11 at FanDuel. Musetti’s victories over De Minaur came in the fourth round of the Madrid Open and the semifinals in Monte Carlo, though both events were played on clay surfaces.
Recent Performance
De Minaur has maintained a strong performance recently, reaching the quarterfinals in his last six tournaments. He claimed his sole title of the year at the Citi DC Open, defeating Alejandro Fokina in a closely contested three-set match.
Despite his recent form, De Minaur struggled against world number one Carlos Alcaraz, losing in straight sets in his tournament opener.
Musetti’s Recent Challenges
Musetti arrives in Turin following a series of mixed results. He lost to Novak Djokovic in the final of the Hellenic Championship after a three-set battle. Prior to that, he exited the Paris Masters early and faced defeats in quarterfinals against lower-ranked players during tournaments in Europe.
His first match in Turin was against American Taylor Fritz, which he lost 3-6, 4-6. Should Musetti fall to De Minaur, he risks finishing his season with three consecutive losses.
Key to Victory
The first set will be crucial for both players. Musetti has lost two of his last three matches on hard courts after dropping the opening set. Conversely, De Minaur has shown vulnerability on hard courts, losing six consecutive matches after losing the first set.
Prediction
Given their previous head-to-head encounters, betting on the total number of games could be a strategic choice. Over 21.5 games is recommended as both players have had closely contested matches historically. As both strive to keep their tournament hopes alive, this match promises to be a competitive encounter.
