Tropical Storm Melissa is expected to rapidly intensify over the weekend, potentially reaching Category 5 status as it heads toward Jamaica. The storm is currently about 165 miles southeast of Kingston, packing winds of 70 mph. Jamaica is poised to face extreme rainfall, flooding, strong winds, and storm surge. Authorities have issued a hurricane warning for Jamaica, anticipating that the storm could make landfall late Monday or early Tuesday.
Impacts on Jamaica and Surrounding Areas
Jamaica could experience some of the most severe impacts from Melissa. The storm is forecasted to bring:
- Heavy rainfall, with totals of up to 25 inches expected.
- Winds approaching hurricane force, likely by Sunday or Monday.
- Potential storm surge, exacerbating flooding conditions.
Haiti is also under threat from Melissa, with southern regions experiencing heavy rainfall and the risk of landslides. Reports indicate that at least three people have died in Haiti, primarily due to landslides, while one death has been reported in the Dominican Republic. Over a thousand individuals have been displaced in the Dominican Republic, with evacuations underway.
Predicted Intensification and Preparedness
The National Hurricane Center warns of rapid intensification, with Melissa possibly becoming a Category 4 hurricane by Sunday afternoon. The unique conditions in the Caribbean, including unusually warm water, are contributing to this potential power surge.
Jamaica’s infrastructure is being fortified; public hospitals are in “emergency mode” to accommodate potential surge in patients. Minister Christopher Tufton emphasized the need for preparedness, halting non-emergency procedures ahead of the storm’s arrival. Additionally, airports might close as conditions deteriorate.
Forecasted Rainfall and Flood Risks
Forecasts predict heavy rainfall with local maxima estimated at 35 inches in the Tiburon Peninsula of Haiti. This rain is likely to cause extensive flooding and potentially isolate communities in Haiti and Jamaica. Meanwhile, eastern Cuba can expect up to 8 inches of rain.
Individuals residing in affected areas should take immediate precautions to protect life and property. The slow movement of the storm is raising concerns, reminiscent of past hurricanes that produced catastrophic flooding.
Looking Ahead
While the U.S. mainland is not expected to experience direct impacts from Melissa, the storm may create rough surf and rip currents along the East Coast. The focus remains firmly on Jamaica, where preparation measures are essential as this storm develops into one of the season’s most destructive hurricanes.
