Giron vs. Shapovalov: 2025 Swiss Indoors Basel Match Prediction & Odds

The Swiss Indoors Basel is set to host an exciting Round of 32 match on Tuesday, October 21, 2025. Marcos Giron will take on Denis Shapovalov in what promises to be a captivating duel on hard courts.
Match Overview
- Tournament: Swiss Indoors Basel
- Round: Round of 32
- Date: October 21, 2025
- Court Surface: Hard
Player Rankings
As of now, Denis Shapovalov holds a superior ATP ranking at No. 23, while Marcos Giron is positioned at No. 57. This difference in ranking adds an intriguing layer to their matchup.
Betting Odds
- Giron Odds: +105
- Shapovalov Odds: -135
- Giron Tournament Odds: +5000
- Shapovalov Tournament Odds: +2200
Performance Analysis
Marcos Giron has faced a tough season, recording 14 wins against 15 losses on hard courts. His service game has been solid, with a win percentage of 76.8%. However, his return game has struggled, achieving only 23.5% success. Giron currently ranks 28th in break-point conversion with a rate of 34.7%, successfully converting 76 out of 219 chances. In his last match at the European Open on October 15, he was eliminated in the Round of 16 by Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
In contrast, Denis Shapovalov has enjoyed a more favorable season with a record of 21 wins and 11 losses on hard courts. His service game also shows a commendable win rate of 75.2%, and his return game is more effective at 32.4%. Shapovalov’s break-point conversion rate stands at an impressive 47.8%, capitalizing on 108 out of 226 opportunities. His recent performance at the Stockholm Open ended in the semifinals, where he lost to the 12th-ranked Casper Ruud on October 18.
Match Prediction
Current odds indicate that Shapovalov is the favorite to win, boasting a winning probability of approximately 57.4% for Giron. As the date approaches, the focus will be on how both players handle the pressures of this prestigious tournament.