Tropical Storm Jerry is expected to form in the Atlantic and may impact the Leeward Islands later this week. The storm is indicated to take a path that could lead to a northward turn into the open Atlantic, minimizing the threat to the mainland United States.
Current Weather System Overview
The Atlantic currently features a tropical wave identified as “Invest 95L.” This system is located between Africa and the Lesser Antilles and has shown signs of organization.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is closely monitoring this disturbance, anticipating a potential hurricane hunter mission as early as Wednesday morning if conditions warrant.
Invest 95L Development Potential
- The system is moving west-northwest and may approach the Leeward Islands by Thursday night or Friday.
- Forecast models suggest it could become Tropical Storm Jerry, marking it as the 10th storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
Importantly, if Jerry forms, it is likely to curve northward into the central Atlantic, affecting the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands mainly with showers and wind, rather than posing a significant threat.
Forecast and Potential Impacts
The timing of the storm’s northward turn will determine its impacts on the Leeward Islands. This storm may bring localized heavy rain and gusty winds, along with a possibility of high surf conditions.
Additional Weather Monitoring
In addition to Invest 95L, the NHC is observing another area of concern near Mexico’s Yucatán Peninsula. This second system poses a less than 50% chance of development but might lead to heavy rainfall across northern Guatemala, Belize, and southern Mexico in the coming days.
Stay updated with El-Balad for the latest developments regarding Tropical Storm Jerry and other weather-related news during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
