The Los Angeles Rams are set to face the Atlanta Falcons in Week 17, with the Rams favored by 7.5 points. The game will feature a total over/under of 49.5 points. This clash is crucial for playoff positioning, as the Rams currently hold the fifth seed in the NFC playoff race. They can potentially rise to the top seed or fall to a wild-card spot depending on the outcomes of their remaining games.
Game Analysis: Rams vs. Falcons
The Rams have a favorable matchup against the Falcons, especially considering their recent form. Currently, the Rams stand out as one of the leading teams when favored on the road, holding a 5-1 record against the spread (ATS). They have also excelled in situations where they are favored by seven or more points, boasting a 4-2 ATS record.
- Rams Overview: Fifth seed in NFC playoff race.
- Recent Record: 5-1 ATS as road favorites.
- ATS with Seven-Plus Points: 4-2 record this season.
Falcons’ Performance and Key Players
The Falcons are underdogs this season, with a 6-2 record against the spread. However, their performance has been noticeably better on the road, while their record as home underdogs is just 1-2. A significant player for Atlanta, running back Bijan Robinson, is expected to play a vital role in this matchup. He leads the team in targets, particularly in games where they are trailing, and has the second-most targets among running backs this season.
- Falcons Overview: 6-2 ATS as underdogs.
- Robinson’s Recent Stats: 32 targets since Week 12.
- Receptions Line: Over 4.5 receptions at -115 is a strong betting target.
Betting Insights
According to PFF betting analyst Ben Linsey, this game offers a unique market opportunity. He emphasizes the potential challenges that quarterback Kirk Cousins may face against a Rams defense that ranks in the top five for pressure rate. Cousins has struggled under pressure this season, with a 40% completion rate when pressured.
Betting Considerations
- Pressure Rate: Rams’ pass rush among the league’s best.
- Cousins’ Completion Rate Under Pressure: 40%.
- Rams’ Touchdown Drive Percentage: 35.6%, the highest in the league.
With an explosive Rams offense set to face a Falcons defense that has allowed significant receptions to running backs, expect a dynamic matchup. The expectations of the Falcons playing from behind could lead to a high involvement of Robinson in the passing game, making this an enticing betting option for the week.
In summary, as the Rams and Falcons meet in this pivotal Week 17 clash, factors such as team form, individual player performance, and betting trends will be crucial in assessing potential outcomes. Don’t miss out on this exciting matchup that holds significant playoff implications.
