Paolo Plateau: What If Banchero Stagnates?

Paolo Banchero’s performance is drawing serious attention for the Orlando Magic. The pivotal question is whether he will develop further or plateau. Recent games have raised concerns about his efficiency, crucial for the team’s aspirations in the NBA Eastern Conference.
Banchero’s Current Performance and Concerns
The Orlando Magic had a mixed start this season with a 3-4 record. Banchero, who won Rookie of the Year in 2023 and made the All-Star team in 2024, has displayed both potential and troubling patterns. He has started the season struggling, with poor shooting percentages from both three-point range (27.6%) and floater range (26%).
Statistics and Analysis
- Only 10 players have scored more points in their first 12 playoff games since 1976, highlighting Banchero’s early success.
- Banchero ranks 48th among 49 players in the league for pull-up jumpers taken this season.
- His shooting percentage is 9.4% below the league average for NBA players.
These statistics raise alarms about his ability to evolve as an efficient scorer. If Banchero continues to take low-probability shots, it may hinder his growth into a decisive player for the team.
Identifying Development Opportunities
Despite Banchero’s struggles, there are reasons for optimism. He turns 23 on November 12, giving him time to develop. Recent changes in team dynamics, particularly the acquisitions of Desmond Bane and Tyus Jones, could positively impact his performance. Banchero could benefit from a more modernized offense and simplified responsibilities.
Forcing his way into poor shot selections must be replaced by creating better opportunities. Maximizing floor spacing could help him exploit mismatches more effectively.
Team Dynamics and Future Prospects
The Magic have potential for a stronger offensive approach. Players like Franz Wagner, Wendell Carter Jr., and Anthony Black can contribute significantly but need to increase their scoring efficiency. Experimenting with Banchero in a smaller lineup could lead to more favorable matchups on the court.
Moreover, Banchero’s usage rate has declined compared to his rookie season, allowing him to adapt to playing alongside other talented players. This adjustment could enhance his game flow and efficiency.
Looking Ahead: What Does the Future Hold?
As the Magic navigate this season, Banchero stands at a crossroads. If he can refine his decision-making and embrace teamwork, he has the potential to excel. However, if he remains mired in inefficiency, it could impact the team’s overall success.
Ultimately, whether Banchero will become a top-10 NBA player remains uncertain. His ability to adapt will be crucial for the Orlando Magic as they strive to contend in a competitive Eastern Conference.




