The upcoming UFC event in Rio features an exciting flyweight matchup between Lucas Rocha and Stewart Nicoll. Both fighters are looking to recover from recent setbacks in their respective careers. They entered the UFC with impressive records and high expectations but faced tough challenges in their debuts.
Fight Overview: Lucas Rocha vs Stewart Nicoll
Lucas Rocha, with a professional record of 17 wins and 2 losses, stands at 5’3” and has a reach of 64 inches. His striking output is measured at 2.00 significant strikes per minute, with an accuracy rate of 44%. However, he absorbs a concerning 4.48 strikes per minute, indicating gaps in his defensive capabilities. His takedown defense sits at 61%, but he has not attempted any takedowns in the UFC, showing a preference for striking.
In contrast, Stewart Nicoll enters the octagon with a record of 8 wins and 1 loss. He stands 5’5” tall and has a 65-inch reach, providing him a slight physical advantage. Nicoll is more active in striking, landing an average of 3.02 significant strikes per minute with a 47% accuracy rate. Remarkably, he absorbs just 1.13 strikes per minute and boasts an impressive takedown average of 5.66 per fight with perfect accuracy. However, he has faced limited resistance, as his takedown defense remains untested thus far.
MMA Betting Odds
According to FanDuel, the betting odds for this matchup are extremely close. Lucas Rocha is listed at -116 on the moneyline, while Stewart Nicoll is at -102, reflecting equal chances for both fighters. Additionally, the odds for the fight going the distance are set at +158, while the likelihood of a stoppage is indicated at -205, suggesting a strong possibility of an early finish.
Predictions for Lucas Rocha vs Stewart Nicoll
Both fighters have distinct strategies. Rocha aims to keep the fight standing and land powerful strikes, while Nicoll will likely seek to take the fight to the ground to leverage his wrestling skills. Rocha’s tendency to receive significant strikes could be problematic against Nicoll’s higher output.
Nicoll’s wrestling ability and takedown accuracy present a challenge for Rocha, who lacks grappling attempts. If Nicoll effectively brings Rocha to the ground, he could control the pace and dictate the fight. Predictions favor Nicoll to win by unanimous decision, based on his capability to exploit Rocha’s defensive weaknesses.
Conclusion
The fight between Lucas Rocha and Stewart Nicoll promises to be a thrilling encounter. Both fighters are eager for redemption, making it a must-watch event for MMA fans in Rio.
