Is the Housing Crisis Really Over?

Recent promotions in the rental market are catching attention, suggesting a potential shift in the housing landscape. With several offers like free appliances and up to two months of rent-free living, it seems that landlords are eager to attract tenants. This development coincides with a reported increase in the vacancy rate in Montreal, which has risen to near 3%. However, a deeper look indicates a complex situation in the housing market.
The Current Housing Situation
Montreal’s vacancy rate reveals mixed dynamics, with 9.1% of new apartments available on the island and even higher in Laval at 10.6%. In contrast, the South Shore holds a lower rate of 4.5%. These figures reflect an oversupply in newer housing, a direct result of promotional efforts when immigration was soaring.
- Vacancy rate in Montreal: 9.1%
- Vacancy rate in Laval: 10.6%
- Vacancy rate on South Shore: 4.5%
Economic Challenges and Demand
The economic environment has changed. A significant decline in Quebec’s population in 2025 has led to decreased demand for housing. As the unemployment rate rises, many young individuals find themselves staying longer at home or sharing living spaces.
Although new rental units are entering the market, the demand has shrunk. This influx can be attributed to government incentives that encouraged development when immigration numbers peaked.
Rental Prices and Housing Affordability
Despite a slight overall easing in rental prices, affordability remains a significant hurdle. Rental costs for two-bedroom apartments have increased by 70% since 2019, outpacing the growth of available incomes.
- Current average rent for a two-bedroom: $1,984
- Average rent for all existing apartments: $1,346
Newer constructions seem to cater predominantly to wealthier tenants. However, this may inadvertently benefit the broader market. Higher-income households moving into new units create openings for lower-income families in older apartments.
Even so, this adjustment can take up to 20 years to significantly impact the lower-end rental market, as noted by housing economists.
Social Housing Needs
Social housing in Canada comprises only 3.5% of the market, significantly less than the OECD average. To match this standard, approximately 575,000 new social housing units would need to be constructed.
Currently, the Quebec Housing Corporation is overseeing the development of around 10,000 units at a significant cost of $4 billion. Meanwhile, many potential renters are still facing challenges. Over 30,000 individuals are waiting for subsidized rental assistance, with some on the list for years.
The Path Forward
Building a diverse rental market is essential to address ongoing challenges. While some efforts have been made, there is a risk of returning to low production levels of rental units that have plagued past decades.
In addition, government policies must balance support for homeowners with the needs of renters. Promoting homeownership while neglecting rental market dynamics may exacerbate wealth disparities.
Therefore, while the housing crisis shows signs of improvement for some, it is critical to acknowledge that many still struggle. The necessity for quality rental options remains a significant challenge ahead.




