Economic Update: Contribution Reductions and Cheaper Carbon Prices

Québec has announced reductions in contributions to the Régie des rentes and the Régime québécois d’assurance parentale, benefiting both workers and employers. These changes are aimed at putting more money back into the pockets of Quebeckers.
Details of Contribution Reductions
Starting January 1, 2026, the contribution rates will be reduced by a total of 13%. Workers could save up to $137 annually due to this adjustment. This adjustment is partly driven by an already announced 8% reduction in the RQAP rate, determined last September.
The Ministry of Finance assures that these reductions will not affect the sustainability of the programs. “Recent actuarial projections show that surpluses will persist in the coming years,” stated Finance Minister Eric Girard. He acknowledged that while the amount might be less than expected, the timing is advantageous, occurring well ahead of the next general elections.
Impact on Employers and Carbon Market
Employers will see a decrease in contributions totaling approximately $400 million per year, providing additional financial relief. Furthermore, businesses can expect savings of nearly $279 million due to lower costs for carbon credits in the emissions trading market. The reduced expenses arise from a California regulation that lowers constraints on companies trading greenhouse gas emission rights.
The price for carbon credits has dropped significantly from around $50 per tonne to approximately $40, which affects overall pricing strategies. Despite wanting to tighten regulations, Girard indicated that external factors necessitate flexibility.
Gasoline Price Implications
The decrease in carbon prices may lead to a reduction of about 2.3 cents per liter in gasoline prices. However, experts warn that distribution dynamics may prevent these decreases from fully reflecting at the pump.
Support for Vulnerable Populations
To assist the most vulnerable populations, Quebec plans to invest approximately $12 million annually in home adaptation and the RénoRégion program. Additionally, for 2025-2026, there will be an emergency assistance fund of $5 million focused on homelessness.
The government has been facing criticism regarding its support for the forestry sector. With a potential loss of 30,000 jobs, the government is also implementing a temporary payroll tax exemption of $250 million to support essential regional sectors.
Financial Overview and Budget Deficit
Quebec’s projected deficit for the current year has decreased from $13.6 billion to $12.4 billion, aided by unexpected revenue growth, particularly in personal and corporate taxes. However, government spending continues to rise, driven by demands in healthcare and education.
Long-Term Financial Goals
The Legault administration aims to achieve a balanced budget by 2029-2030, needing to find an average of $2.5 billion annually to meet this objective. Critics highlight the administration’s challenges in managing expenditure while maintaining commitments to combat climate change.
In summary, the upcoming contribution reductions and the adaptations in the carbon market are significant developments for Quebec’s economy, impacting both individuals and businesses alike.




