Jamaica is bracing for potential hurricane conditions as Tropical Storm Melissa intensifies over unusually warm ocean waters. The storm’s outer bands have begun to affect Jamaica and western Haiti, prompting officials to issue hurricane watches. This indicates the likelihood of hurricane-force winds as the weekend approaches.
The National Hurricane Center reports that as of early Friday, Melissa was located approximately 150 miles southeast of Kingston, Jamaica. It had sustained winds of 45 mph and was moving north at a slow pace of 2 mph. Experts predict that Melissa could rapidly reach Category 4 status or higher by Sunday, potentially hovering near or over Jamaica into early next week.
Impact on Jamaica and Surrounding Areas
The expected effects of Melissa could be severe, with officials warning of power outages, flooding, landslides, and hazardous sea conditions. Rainfall predictions indicate that Jamaica, along with southern Haiti and the Dominican Republic, could see as much as 14 inches of rain, with localized areas possibly exceeding a foot.
- Hurricane watches are in effect for Jamaica and western Haiti.
- Deaths reported in Haiti due to the storm: At least three.
- All public hospitals in Jamaica are currently in “emergency mode.”
Preparedness and Response
Jamaica’s Minister of Health and Wellness, Christopher Tufton, confirmed that all outpatient and elective procedures have been suspended to prepare for emergencies. While Jamaica’s airports are operational, they may close within 24 hours of a hurricane warning announcement, according to Minister Daryl Vaz.
The U.S. mainland is not entirely clear of Melissa’s influence, although a direct hit appears unlikely. If the storm takes longer to shift north, it may move towards eastern Cuba or the Bahamas before heading into the Atlantic. Meanwhile, the U.S. East Coast could experience rough surf and rip currents next week.
Flood Risks and Historical Comparisons
Jamaica, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic face significant flood risks due to their mountainous terrain, which could exacerbate rainfall accumulation from Melissa. Historical events, such as Hurricane Harvey in 2017 and Hurricane Dorian in 2019, illustrate how slowly-moving storms can lead to devastating floods.
Haiti and Jamaica’s steep landscapes could intensify rainfall as the storm passes, leading to potential mudslides. This situation mirrors past incidents, including last year’s Hurricane Helene, which significantly impacted western North Carolina.
Storm Dynamics
Exceptional warmth in the Caribbean Sea is contributing to Melissa’s strength. The deep reservoir of heat beneath the surface prevents cooler waters from weakening the storm. As Melissa heads towards Jamaica, it is set to take advantage of these conditions, increasing the risk of extremely severe impacts on the region.
As forecasts evolve, all indications suggest that Jamaica could endure a tumultuous period, making it the focal point for what may become one of the season’s most destructive hurricanes.
