Netflix Q3 Earnings Prediction: Options Market Anticipates 7.4% Price Shift

Netflix is set to announce its third-quarter earnings on October 21. The options market indicates a predicted price shift of 7.4%, signaling greater volatility than usual following this report.
Expectations for Q3 Earnings Report
Traders are anticipating a significant outcome from Netflix’s earnings call. Compared to the historical average post-earnings move of 4.2%, the expected shift highlights heightened investor concern or excitement.
During the call, analysts will focus on several key factors, particularly:
- Net additions in international markets
- Engagement metrics
- Revenue outcomes from the ad-supported service
Analysts’ Forecasts
Despite a modest decline in share price over the last three months, analysts remain optimistic. They forecast earnings of $6.96 per share, representing a 28.9% increase compared to the same quarter last year. Additionally, revenue projections stand at $11.51 billion, up from $9.78 billion in the previous year.
Several factors contribute to these optimistic forecasts:
- Shift from subscriber growth to profitability
- Implementation of paid-sharing strategies
- Expansion of the advertising segment
- Growth in global content availability
Market Sentiment on NFLX Stock
According to Wall Street analysts, Netflix stock carries a Moderate Buy consensus rating. This rating is based on 18 Buy recommendations, seven Holds, and a single Sell in the past three months.
Currently, the average target price for NFLX sits at $1,381.26, suggesting an upside potential of approximately 10.93%. Investors are advised to keep a close watch on the upcoming earnings announcement to gauge the company’s trajectory.