Millions Risk Losing Coverage if ACA Health Subsidies End

As the deadline for the Affordable Care Act (ACA) tax credits approaches, millions of Americans face uncertainty regarding their health coverage. Many individuals and families, like Celia and Jorge Monreal, are preparing for potential increases in their healthcare costs at the end of the year.
Rising Health Care Costs for ACA Enrollees
Celia Monreal, 47, and her husband Jorge, 57, worry that they may lose their subsidized health plan if Congress does not extend the ACA tax credits. These tax credits have enabled low- and middle-income families to afford healthcare, with some paying no premiums at all. Without these credits, their insurance costs could more than double, making essential medical services, including Jorge’s knee replacements, financially unattainable.
Impact of Tax Credit Expiration
More than 24 million Americans rely on the ACA for their health insurance. The expiration of enhanced premium tax credits, effective this year, will lead to an average increase of $1,016 in annual premiums for those currently subsidized. According to an analysis by KFF, this represents a staggering 114% increase in out-of-pocket costs for many enrollees.
- Nearly $1,016 increase in annual premiums expected.
- More than 24 million people depend on ACA coverage.
- Enhanced tax credits could vanish, raising healthcare costs significantly.
Consequences of Increased Premiums
The decision on whether to extend these tax credits is embroiled in political turmoil, contributing to the ongoing federal government shutdown. Democrats advocate for the continuation of subsidies, while Republicans focus on funding the government first. As the open enrollment period begins on November 1, many families are left in limbo, unsure of their future healthcare costs.
The Ripple Effect on Health Coverage
Experts warn that higher premiums could lead many to opt-out of health insurance altogether. This scenario could create adverse selection, as healthier individuals leave the market. Consequently, premiums for those who remain insured will likely increase further, as insurance companies adjust for a less healthy risk pool.
Jason Levitis, a senior fellow at the Urban Institute, emphasizes the dire consequences: “Reducing subsidies leads to less health coverage, escalating costs, and ultimately poorer health outcomes.” This situation could also overburden hospitals, resulting in more uninsured patients requiring emergency care they cannot afford.
Personal Stories Reflecting Nationwide Concern
Individuals across the country are speaking out about their anxieties. For instance, Erin Jackson-Hill, 56, from Anchorage, Alaska, has chronic health issues and fears her financial options will dwindle if subsidies are cut. She currently pays nearly $500 a month in premiums and may have to sacrifice her health insurance entirely.
Likewise, Chrissy Meehan, a hair stylist from Pennsylvania, is concerned about needing surgery for a neck condition. She expresses frustration over the lack of affordable healthcare options despite working hard to meet her expenses.
Potential Solutions and Future Implications
Even if Congress acts to extend the tax credits, analysts suggest that insurance rates for 2026 are already on the rise due to uncertainty regarding subsidy funding. This delay could exacerbate confusion and stress for millions facing rising insurance costs.
Celia Monreal’s family exemplifies the challenges faced by many. With a combined income of $45,000 and a need to support their five children, they are grappling with the financial implications of potentially losing their health coverage. As the enrollment period approaches, these families remain anxious, awaiting clarity on their healthcare future.
The outcome of the current political debate will set the stage for healthcare affordability in America, affecting countless individuals relying on the ACA for their coverage.