Daniil Medvedev will take on Adam Walton in the Round of 16 at the 2025 ATP Almaty Open. This highly anticipated clash comes approximately two months after Walton defeated Medvedev at the Cincinnati Masters. Medvedev is eager to avenge that loss and continue his quest for a spot in the prestigious Nitto ATP Finals.
Daniil Medvedev’s Recent Performance
The former World No. 1 and US Open champion is having a challenging season. Medvedev has not secured a title in over two years. Despite reaching six consecutive finals since the 2023 Italian Open, he has fallen short each time. This year, he was a runner-up at the Terra Wortmann Open and reached the semifinals at multiple tournaments, including the Shanghai Masters.
Medvedev’s statistics show a modest success rate of 62%. His break point saving ratio stands at 60%, indicating potential for growth and improvement.
Adam Walton’s Rising Career
Adam Walton, currently ranked World No. 76, has yet to capture an ATP Tour title. The 26-year-old Australian has four Challenger titles to his name. He achieved his career-high ranking just last month. In 2025, Walton made noteworthy performances at major tournaments. He reached the semifinals in Los Cabos and had pre-quarterfinal appearances in Miami and Houston. His overall win-loss record stands at 13-18 for the year.
Head-to-Head Record
Walton leads the head-to-head record against Medvedev, having won their only encounter. In their previous match at the 2025 Cincinnati Masters, Walton triumphed in three sets:
- Event: 2025 Cincinnati
- Round: Round of 64
- Winner: Adam Walton
- Score: 6-7(0), 6-4, 6-1
Match Predictions for ATP Almaty Open 2025
With Medvedev’s erratic season, his performance is somewhat unpredictable. However, once he finds his rhythm, he can be formidable. Notably, his analytical skills will help him address mistakes from his previous loss to Walton.
While Walton may enter the match with confidence, predictions favor Medvedev to win in straight sets.
Betting Odds
As the match approaches, Medvedev is favored in the betting odds:
- Daniil Medvedev Win: 2/15
- Adam Walton Win: 24/5
- Total Games Over 21.5: 49/50
- Walton +4.5 Game Handicap: 10/11
- Medvedev -4.5 Game Handicap: 5/6
- Medvedev to Win 2-0: 4/9
As per the odds, Medvedev has an impressive 89% chance of progressing to the quarterfinals. Betting fans can expect a thrilling encounter in Almaty.
