The Phoenix Mercury face the daunting challenge of overcoming a 0-3 deficit in the WNBA Finals against the Las Vegas Aces. This unprecedented situation in WNBA and NBA history sets the stage for Game 4, as they aim to avoid elimination.
Game 4 Preview: Mercury’s Challenges and Adjustments
In the first three games, the Mercury struggled to secure a victory, with two games being decided by just five points. Despite significant efforts, including a remarkable comeback attempt in Game 3, Phoenix fell short due to a last-minute shot from A’ja Wilson.
Compounding their struggles, the Mercury will be without forward Satou Sabally, who is sidelined with a concussion for the crucial Game 4. Her absence, noted for averaging 21.6 points per game in this series, puts pressure on the remaining players to step up.
Keys to Adjustments
- Starting Lineup Changes: The Mercury may start DeWanna Bonner or Sami Whitcomb to fill in for Sabally, potentially allowing Natasha Mack to provide bench support.
- Performance Under Pressure: Bonner recorded 25 points in Game 3, but Whitcomb has struggled significantly, averaging just six points while shooting 2-for-16.
- Bench Contributions: Increased performance from the bench is essential. Coach Nate Tibbetts will need to optimize player rotations for maximum impact.
Defensive and Offensive Challenges
Defensively, the Mercury are facing connectivity issues. Despite entering the Finals with the highest postseason defensive rating, they conceded excessive points in all three games — 89, 91, and 90.
Key defensive lapses included poor 3-point coverage and slow reactions to loose balls, leading to an alarming number of offensive rebounds for the Aces. Phoenix must rectify these issues to stand a chance.
Player Performances and Expectations
- Alyssa Thomas: The Mercury’s offense largely hinges on Thomas, whose postseason averages have decreased in the Finals. She needs to regain her prior level of play.
- Kahleah Copper: Copper has maintained consistent scoring with point totals of 21, 23, and 17 across the series, crucial for compensating Sabally’s absence.
Strategic Conundrums for Coach Tibbetts
Tibbetts faces critical decisions on defensive matchups, specifically on how to handle A’ja Wilson’s scoring. Double-teaming may be necessary to limit her influence, but it could leave other Aces players open.
With the Aces demonstrating higher shooting percentages and better bench production, the Mercury must respond decisively in Game 4 to avoid elimination.
Game 4 Predictions
The outcome of Game 4 will depend on the Mercury’s ability to adapt quickly and efficiently without Sabally. They must tighten up their defense and find offensive rhythm. As the stakes are incredibly high, every play will matter in this tense elimination match.
