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Fares Ziam vs. Tom Nolan: UFC Vegas 118 Prediction and Picks

In an exciting matchup at UFC Fight Night in Las Vegas, Fares Ziam will take on Tom Nolan. Both fighters are prominent prospects in the Lightweight division, showcasing impressive records and skills.

Fight Overview: Fares Ziam vs. Tom Nolan

Fares Ziam, a 26-year-old fighter with an 18-4 record, has secured 11 finishes. He is currently riding a six-fight winning streak, a testament to his growing skill set. In his last bout, Ziam achieved a second-round knockout against Nazim Sadykhov, which ended Sadykhov’s impressive 12-fight unbeaten streak.

On the other hand, Tom Nolan, also 26, holds a record of 10-1. He has gained attention for his recent performances, winning four consecutive fights. His latest victory came by submission against Charlie Campbell in September 2025, marking a notable milestone in his career.

Statistical Breakdown

Fighter Height Reach Significant Strikes per Minute Takedowns per 15 Minutes
Fares Ziam 6’1″ 75″ Average Nearly 1
Tom Nolan 6’3″ 73″ Higher Less

Nolan is taller than Ziam by two inches and possesses a reach disadvantage. Statistically, Nolan averages three more significant strikes per minute compared to Ziam. However, Ziam demonstrates proficiency in takedowns, landing nearly one more per fight over a 15-minute duration.

Betting Odds and Predictions

According to DraftKings Sportsbook, Ziam is a favorite at -298, while Nolan enters as an underdog at +240. The odds suggest a likelihood of the fight not going the distance at -145, with a +110 chance for it to last the full 15 minutes.

Despite Ziam’s experience—six of his last eight victories came by decision—his finishing ability remains notable, with 11 total finishes in his career. Analysts prioritize Ziam as the favored contender due to his superior defensive skills both striking and grappling.

This matchup is highly anticipated, and fans are eager to see how the fight unfolds at this week’s UFC event in Las Vegas.

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