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Canada’s 2025-26 Winter Preview: An Early Shift to Cold

As winter approaches, Canada is preparing for changes in temperature during the 2025-26 season. A preliminary outlook forecasts a mix of near-normal to colder-than-normal temperatures across the country. This expectation includes December, January, and February, with variations anticipated during different weeks.

Temperature Expectations for 2025-26 Winter

The majority of Canada is expected to experience overall colder conditions. However, exceptions exist. Much of Atlantic Canada and specific areas in northwestern Canada may see milder temperatures. Despite these pockets of warmth, significant winter weather events will still impact these regions.

Regional Temperature Variations

  • Colder-than-normal temperatures: Predicted for much of Canada.
  • Near-normal temperatures: Expected in parts of Atlantic Canada and northwestern regions.

During the heart of the winter season, southern Canada may witness a stretch of milder weather, offering temporary relief from the cold.

Storm Activity Patterns

Forecast models indicate that the dominant storm trajectories will primarily affect the Great Lakes region and progress into the St. Lawrence Valley. Additionally, an active storm track could emerge along the British Columbia coast at times, leading to potential weather instability.

Influences on Winter Weather

As winter approaches, meteorological conditions, such as the potential declaration of a La Niña event, will be monitored closely. The differences between a weak La Niña and neutral conditions are expected to have minimal impact on the overall winter pattern. However, the North Pacific remains a crucial factor in determining how the winter unfolds.

As new data emerges, updates on the winter forecast will be provided, with a final version expected to be released on November 26.

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