As Week 6 of the college football season concludes, several teams face critical evaluations of their performance and outlook for the remainder of the year. Major upsets and disappointing losses have reshaped expectations, especially regarding College Football Playoff (CFP) aspirations.
Key Takeaways from Week 6
The following insights highlight critical observations and analysis based on performance up to this week’s games.
1. Bill Belichick’s Tenure at UNC
Bill Belichick’s time as North Carolina’s coach is under scrutiny. UNC currently ranks 119th in schedule-adjusted EPA-per-play. This places them alongside the least effective power-conference teams.
- Belichick’s team has lost three games by 25+ points this season.
- Calls for a change in leadership are growing as performance declines.
2. Texas vs. Oklahoma Rivalry
Despite a disappointing performance against top teams, Texas is still favored over Oklahoma for the upcoming Red River Rivalry. However, Texas has struggled against power-conference teams, raising eyebrows about their position.
- The Longhorns were held under six yards per play against Ohio State and Florida.
- SP+ projections favor Oklahoma to win this matchup by 7 points.
3. Kansas State’s Bowl Chances
After a slow start, Kansas State has shown improvement, but their record remains concerning at 2-4. The team’s bad luck in close games may hinder their bowl eligibility.
- K-State’s postgame win expectancy suggests they should have won more games.
- Upcoming games against Texas Tech and Utah will be critical.
4. Alabama’s SEC Championship Potential
Alabama has emerged as a strong contender for the SEC title, boasting a favorable schedule and impressive recent performances. The Crimson Tide shows promise to achieve an 11-1 regular season record.
- Future games against major rival teams at home enhance their championship hopes.
- Alabama ranks as the most balanced team in the SEC, with only one reported weakness in rushing offense.
5. James Franklin’s Future at Penn State
Following a significant loss to UCLA, speculation surrounds James Franklin’s position. Despite his overall success, the challenges this season might lead him to seek new opportunities.
- The buyout for Franklin is substantial, potentially limiting immediate changes.
- His reputation in critical games could impact future hiring considerations.
6. Notre Dame’s Defensive Stability
Notre Dame’s defense has shown marked improvement, highlighted by a strong performance against Boise State. The Fighting Irish’s ability to limit scoring opportunities could be pivotal as they move forward.
- Boise State struggled against Notre Dame, generating minimal explosive plays.
- Defensive consistency may enhance Notre Dame’s standing in the playoff picture.
7. Texas Tech’s CFP Aspirations
Texas Tech has established itself as a serious contender, maintaining an undefeated record. Their statistics indicate a strong chance of running the table in the Big 12.
- Current projections give Texas Tech nearly a 40% chance to finish the regular season with a 13-0 record.
- The team’s offensive and defensive metrics appear to support their playoff candidacy.
8. Carson Beck’s Heisman Candidacy
Miami quarterback Carson Beck has emerged as a leading Heisman Trophy candidate. However, concerns exist over the strength of their schedule impacting his chances.
- Beck’s current passer efficiency rating is impressive, yet not extraordinary compared to past winners.
- Miami’s schedule lacks ranked opponents until the ACC Championship game.
9. Florida’s Recent Performance
Despite a notable victory over Texas, questions remain about Florida’s sustained performance. Their inconsistent record raises concerns going into a challenging matchup against Texas A&M.
10. Big Ten’s CFP Berth Concerns
This year, the Big Ten may see a reduced number of CFP berths compared to the previous season’s four. Key teams such as Ohio State and Oregon are the only likely locks for the playoffs.
- Penn State’s chances have diminished following a critical loss.
- Uncertainties linger around other conference teams making a serious playoff push.
As the season progresses, the dynamics of college football continue to change. Teams must adapt quickly or risk losing their chance at the CFP and other postseason opportunities.
