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Musetti vs. Comesana: Prediction, Odds, and Head-to-Head at ATP Shanghai 2025

In the second round of the Rolex Shanghai Masters 2025, Lorenzo Musetti faces Francisco Comesana as the tournament heats up. The 23-year-old Italian, seeded No. 8, comes into this matchup after battling through previous competitions, including quarterfinal appearances at the US Open and Beijing. Following an early exit during the Beijing quarterfinals, Musetti aims to bounce back in Shanghai.

Lorenzo Musetti: Recent Performance

Lorenzo Musetti has had a strong season in 2025, boasting a record of 35 wins and 15 losses. He has reached three semifinals and one final, predominantly on clay courts. His Olympic bronze medal in Paris 2024 showcases his rising status in the tennis world.

Francisco Comesana: A Challenge Ahead

Francisco Comesana, ranked No. 62, enters this match fresh off a Round 1 victory against Blanchet (6-4, 6-2). At 24 years old, he has yet to claim his first ATP title but has secured semifinal finishes at the Rio Open and quarterfinals in Bucharest and Gstaad. This marks his first tour-level event since his exit in the Round of 64 at the 2025 US Open.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record favors Musetti, who has a 1-0 advantage over Comesana. Their previous encounter was at the 2024 Wimbledon, where Musetti triumphed in four sets:

Event Round Winner Score
2024 Wimbledon Round of 32 Lorenzo Musetti 6-2, 6-7(4), 7-6(3), 6-3

Match Preview and Betting Odds

Analyzing both players’ performance on hard courts, Musetti holds a statistical edge. He excels in altering net clearance and possesses an effective backhand slice that challenges his opponents. Conversely, Comesana struggles with a first-serve percentage of 58%, impacting his rhythm during matches.

The current betting odds favor Musetti at 1/3, with Comesana at 9/4. Here’s a breakdown of key betting odds:

  • Lorenzo Musetti Win: 1/3
  • Francisco Comesana Win: 9/4
  • Total Games >22.5: Evens
  • Total Games 10/13
  • Musetti -3.5 (Game Handicap): 41/50

Prediction

Given Musetti’s experience and hard court proficiency, our prediction is a straight-sets victory for the Italian. His ability to control the match tempo is expected to outpace Comesana.

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