2026 BNP Paribas Open: Fearnley vs. Dzumhur Match Prediction and Odds

The upcoming match in the BNP Paribas Open features Jacob Fearnley, ranked 87th, facing off against 64th-ranked Damir Dzumhur. Scheduled for Thursday, March 5, this match is part of the Round of 128 on hard court. Fearnley enters as the favorite, holding odds of -145, while Dzumhur is listed as the underdog at +110.
Match Overview
- Tournament: BNP Paribas Open
- Round: Round of 128
- Date: Thursday, March 5
- Court Surface: Hard
Betting Odds and Predictions
The odds suggest Fearnley has a 59.2% implied probability of winning based on the current moneyline. Betting odds are sourced from BetMGM Sportsbook, updated at 2:36 PM ET on match day.
Player Performance Statistics
Jacob Fearnley
- Recent Tournament Record: 10 wins, 14 losses on hard courts over the past year.
- Service Game Success Rate: 72.1%
- Return Game Success Rate: 25.2%
- Break Point Conversion Rate: 41.4% (55 out of 133)
- Most Recent Match: Lost to Kamil Majchrzak (6-7, 5-7, 6-3, 6-7) on January 18.
Damir Dzumhur
- Recent Tournament Record: 9 wins, 15 losses on hard courts in the last year.
- Service Game Success Rate: 70.2% (210 out of 299 games).
- Return Game Success Rate: 26.0% (79 out of 304 games).
- Break Point Conversion Rate: 46.0% (64 out of 139)
- Most Recent Match: Lost to Gael Monfils (4-6, 6-7) on February 24.
Conclusion
As the match approaches, Fearnley’s favorable odds indicate a strong chance of victory. However, Dzumhur’s competitive history suggests he could provide a challenging contest. Tennis fans can catch the action on the Tennis Channel, as both players aim to advance in this prestigious tournament.




