A recent investigation reveals that a cargo plane linked to the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has conducted multiple flights in connection with the ongoing conflict in Sudan and regional geopolitical tensions. This aircraft has traveled between military bases in Abu Dhabi, Israel, Bahrain, and Ethiopia, raising concerns about its implications for the Sudan war and surrounding areas.
Background on the Conflict
The war in Sudan, which began in April 2023, has escalated the humanitarian crisis in the region. The conflict primarily involves the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF). The UAE has historically supported the RSF, while Saudi Arabia, alongside Egypt and Turkey, has backed the SAF.
UAE’s Strategic Movements
Following defensive maneuvers by Saudi Arabia to counter the Emirati-backed Southern Transitional Council (STC) in Yemen, the UAE reassessed its military presence in the Horn of Africa. Reports indicate a redeployment of Emirati personnel to Ethiopia, which is increasingly seen as pivotal to the UAE’s strategy.
Flight Tracking Data
Flight-tracking data has shown a series of repeat flights by an Antonov An-124 cargo plane, operating under the tail number UR-ZYD, owned by Maximus Air. Notably, this aircraft, one of the largest military transporters globally, has made several journeys between Abu Dhabi and Harar Meda airport in Ethiopia.
- On January 3, 2023, UR-ZYD flew from Abu Dhabi to Harar Meda, landing at 9:12 AM local time.
- Follow-up flights occurred on January 12 and January 15, showcasing a consistent operational pattern.
Before arriving in Ethiopia, the aircraft made three round trips between Bahrain and Israel, indicating its role in a broader logistical framework involving various military operations.
Geopolitical Implications
Analysts warn that the UAE’s actions could exacerbate regional instability. Jalel Harchaoui, a North Africa-focused analyst, emphasized that UAE operations have intensified in light of the Sudan conflict. He noted Saudi Arabia’s recent military advances in Yemen, which have bolstered Riyadh’s standing in the region.
Military Support for the RSF
Recent reports indicate that the RSF may have acquired military aircraft, further complicating the situation. According to sources, these jets are potentially being transported from the UAE through Ethiopia, highlighting the interconnected nature of regional conflicts.
Concerns Over Humanitarian Impact
The ongoing military transactions raise significant humanitarian concerns. The tightened grip of these conflicted alliances in the Horn of Africa poses risks to civilian populations caught in the crossfire. As stated by Nathaniel Raymond of Yale’s Humanitarian Research Lab, any evidence linking the UAE’s flights to RSF support should be a global concern.
Call for Action
Experts have urged Ethiopia and neighboring countries to monitor and restrict UAE flights through their airspace if connections to arms supply are confirmed. The geopolitical landscape in the Horn of Africa remains fragile, influenced by the rivalries between Gulf nations.
This situation continues to evolve as regional players negotiate their positions amid the Sudan conflict, creating urgent calls for humanitarian intervention and accountability. El-Balad will continue to monitor developments in this critical region.
