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2026 Australian Open: Thompson vs. Borges Match Prediction and Odds

On January 20, 2026, Nuno Borges and Jordan Thompson will face off in the Round of 64 at the Australian Open. This match promises to be an exciting showdown as both players look to advance in one of tennis’s premier events.

Match Overview: Australian Open 2026

Borges is currently ranked No. 46 in the world, while Thompson is positioned at No. 111. Betting odds favor Borges, who has -185 odds compared to Thompson’s +140. Viewers can catch the match live on ESPN+ and Fubo.

Match Details

  • Tournament: Australian Open
  • Round: Round of 64
  • Date: January 20, 2026
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Fubo
  • Court Surface: Hard

Player Form and Statistics

Both players come into this match with varied performance on hard courts over the past year. Let’s look at their recent statistics.

Jordan Thompson Performance

  • Record: 4 wins, 7 losses on hard courts
  • Service Games Won: 78.1%
  • Return Games Won: 13.8%
  • Break Points Converted: 27% (17 out of 63)

In his last tournament, Thompson faced No. 26-ranked Ugo Humbert, losing 3-6, 6-7 in the Round of 64 at the Rolex Shanghai Masters on October 3. This loss could impact his confidence going into the match against Borges.

Nuno Borges Performance

  • Record: 15 wins, 16 losses on hard courts
  • Service Games Won: 75.6%
  • Return Games Won: 20.9%
  • Break Points Converted: 31.8% (55 out of 173)

Borges recently competed in the ASB Classic, where he was eliminated by Eliot Spizzirri (No. 89) with scores of 6-7, 4-6. He will look to bounce back against Thompson.

Match Prediction and Betting Insights

Given the odds and player statistics, Thompson has an implied probability of 64.9% to win, making him the underdog. Despite his lower ranking, he has shown potential in previous tournaments.

In contrast, Borges possesses a stronger service game, which may be crucial on hard courts. As the match approaches, bettors and fans alike will be eager to see how these factors play out in this competitive encounter.

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