New York City is preparing for a potential winter storm this weekend. The National Weather Service (NWS) reports increasing confidence in a significant snow event. However, forecasts show varying predictions regarding snow intensity.
Forecast Models Overview
Two primary weather models indicate different snowfall scenarios for the New York City area:
- European Model: Projects heavy snowfall covering much of the central and eastern United States, including NYC.
- American Model: Suggests a moderate potential for snow in NYC, characterized by a blue shade on the map.
Expert Insights
Weather experts are assessing the situation. Mike Woods from FOX 5 NY anticipates significant snowfall. He noted, “This one is probably going to be one of the overachievers,” with some models predicting up to a foot of snow south of the city.
Timing of the Snowstorm
The NWS provides the following timeline for the snowfall:
- Saturday Night: 40% chance of snow; expected low around 14°F.
- Sunday: Snow likely with a high near 20°F; precipitation chances are around 60%.
- Sunday Night: 40% chance of continued snow; expected low around 15°F.
Potential Impacts
The impending winter storm may include heavy snow, sleet, and freezing rain. Currently, the NWS indicates a 40% chance of experiencing moderate winter weather impacts in NYC. There’s also a 43% chance of accumulating over five inches of snow this weekend.
Uncertainty Factors
Despite the forecasts, uncertainty remains about the storm’s precise location and intensity. Specifics regarding snowfall amounts and impacts will become clearer as the weekend approaches.
Model Differences
The two main forecasting models generating public interest are:
- Global Forecast System (GFS): Managed by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, this American model is widely referenced.
- European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF): Known as the European model, it is supported by 34 countries and run from England.
As New Yorkers brace for potentially severe winter conditions, staying updated with local weather reports is essential. El-Balad will continue to provide updates on this developing weather situation.
