Australian Open 2026: Pegula vs. Zakharova – Predictions, Odds, Picks

In the highly anticipated first round of the Australian Open Women’s Singles 2026, Jessica Pegula is set to face Anastasia Zakharova on Sunday. This match is generating significant interest among tennis enthusiasts and bettors alike.
Match Predictions: Pegula vs. Zakharova
According to advanced simulations from Dimers, Jessica Pegula is the favorite to win this opening contest. The model forecasts an impressive 89% chance of Pegula coming out on top against Zakharova. Additionally, it estimates an 84% probability of Pegula winning the first set.
Simulation Insights
Using machine learning and comprehensive data analysis, the match was simulated 10,000 times. The results suggest several betting opportunities:
- Zakharova has a 53% chance of covering the spread at +6.5.
- The likelihood of the match surpassing 17.5 total games stands at 61%.
Current Betting Odds
The latest odds for the Pegula vs. Zakharova match reflect the betting market’s perspective:
| Bet Type | Pegula | Zakharova |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -1235 | +980 |
| First Set | -714 | +450 |
| Game Spread | +6.5 (-118) | -6.5 (-112) |
| Total Games | o17.5 (-132) | u17.5 (-102) |
All odds are accurate at publication and may shift as the match approaches.
Best Bets for the Match
Based on the predictions and current odds, bettors may find value in selecting Jessica Pegula for a moneyline victory. Additionally, wagering on Zakharova to cover the spread of +6.5 appears to hold potential, considering the favorable odds and simulation insights.
As the match draws near, tennis fans are eager to see if the predictions hold true and who will advance to the second round of the Australian Open 2026.




