As Ontario braces for significant winter weather, a recent report offers insights into the upcoming months. The report, released by Environment Canada, highlights temperature trends from January to March 2026.
Ontario Winter Weather Forecast: What to Expect Over the Next Three Months
The winter forecast indicates a mix of weather patterns, including potential heavy snowfall. Environment Canada’s seasonal predictions provide a nationwide overview rather than pinpointing specific snowfall events.
Temperature Outlook
Expected temperature trends for Southern and Northern Ontario vary significantly:
- Southern Ontario is forecasted to have a 40-50% chance of above-average temperatures.
- Northern Ontario indicates a 50-60% probability of experiencing warmer conditions.
Overall, many areas in the province are likely to see above-average temperatures this winter. The likelihood of temperatures hovering around normal levels is lower, estimated at 30-40%. There’s also only a 10-20% chance of below-average temperatures in Southern Ontario from January to March 2026.
Precipitation Expectations
While Environment Canada does not forecast specific precipitation events, traditional long-term outlooks provide meaningful guidance.
- From January 6 to 21, mixed precipitation, including rain and snow, is anticipated in Southern Ontario.
- January 22 to 31 is expected to bring more snowfall along with a significant drop in temperatures.
In January, the average temperature in Southern Ontario is projected to be -6.5°C, slightly below the eastern provincial average and marginally above the western average. Sneaking in forecasts, precipitation levels for January are expected around 40 mm, falling 25 mm short of the monthly norm.
February Weather Forecast
February is predicted to witness continued snowfall and snowstorm activity. The average temperature is expected to rise to approximately -2°C, three degrees higher than the seasonal norm. Additionally, February’s precipitation could exceed typical levels by about 20 mm, achieving a total of 75 mm.
These insights provide an essential outlook for Ontarians preparing for winter’s challenges over the next three months.
