“One Big Bill Act Challenges State Health Care Affordability”

The ongoing debate in Congress over the extension of temporary federal health care subsidies underscores a pressing issue: the underlying unaffordability of health care. While subsidies have assisted millions in purchasing health coverage, states such as California, Massachusetts, and Connecticut are taking proactive measures to address rising health care costs.
State Health Care Affordability Initiatives
To mitigate rising premiums, deductibles, and overall health expenses, some states have implemented spending caps on health care. These limits aim to relieve the financial strain on families and employers. In total, eight states have initiated caps on health care spending.
- California
- Massachusetts
- Connecticut
- Other states involved in similar initiatives
Impact of One Big Beautiful Bill Act
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed into law by former President Donald Trump in July, is influencing state health initiatives. This legislation is projected to reduce federal Medicaid spending by over $900 billion over the next decade. However, it could also lead to an increase in the number of uninsured individuals, particularly among Medicaid beneficiaries, by an estimated 10 million.
Health care analysts warn that increased hospital costs may arise due to lost Medicaid revenue and the influx of newly uninsured patients. This situation raises concerns about whether states will permit providers to exceed spending caps to adjust for these losses.
Legal Challenges to Spending Caps
The California Hospital Association has filed a lawsuit against the state, challenging the effectiveness of the spending caps. The association argues that these caps overlook the multitude of challenges hospitals face, including:
- An aging and sicker population
- Rising labor costs
- Expensive medical technology advancements
- Capital investments for seismic upgrades
While California’s affordability office aims to cap statewide health care spending growth at 3.5% by 2025, the hospital association contends that these measures might compromise health care quality and access.
Responses from Hospital Associations
Carmela Coyle, president and CEO of the California Hospital Association, expressed concern that the spending limits could lead to cuts. This, in turn, could result in longer emergency room wait times and decreased access to essential services.
Similar objections have arisen in other states like Connecticut and Massachusetts, indicating a growing trend of hospital industry pushback against state-imposed cost growth limits.
Challenges and Concerns
Analysts suggest that the One Big Beautiful Bill Act may further hinder competition in the health care market, potentially leading to hospital closures and mergers. A study estimates that 338 rural hospitals are at risk of shutting down nationwide.
Increased hospital consolidation could prompt higher commercial prices, burdening employers and individuals with rising premiums. According to Rachel Block from the Milbank Memorial Fund, providers will likely seek to maintain or increase revenue despite the potential for adverse effects on affordability.
Looking Ahead
As states seek to enforce affordability measures, the path forward remains uncertain. Achieving cost savings will require cooperation among powerful health care stakeholders. If established players do not align to lower health care costs, the financial strain on families may continue unabated.
Ultimately, for many Americans facing high medical bills, the solutions remain pressing and necessary.



