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Jefferies Downgrades ADP to ‘Hold’ Citing Capital Expenditure Concerns

Jefferies has recently adjusted its rating for Aeroports de Paris (ADP), the French airport operator. The firm changed the stock’s designation from “buy” to “hold.” This decision stems from concerns about the company’s proposed industrial plan and future capital expenditures.

Reasons for Downgrade

Jefferies’ analysis indicates that capital expenditures (capex) are expected to rise significantly. This increase is likely to impact free cash flow, limiting the company’s ability to generate returns for shareholders. Additionally, the firm’s dividend yield is projected to remain subdued until after 2030.

Investment and Regulatory Concerns

  • Jefferies anticipates ADP will invest approximately €8.4 billion ($9.8 billion) in Paris airports between 2027 and 2034.
  • This investment is considered a “best-case scenario” amid uncertainties related to regulatory approvals.
  • The French transport regulator could impose less favorable conditions on returns.
  • There are ongoing concerns about unregulated spending and the viability of a new tax protection factor, which is currently under dispute.

Analyst Ratings Overview

Among the 16 analysts monitoring ADP, there is mixed sentiment regarding the stock:

Rating Number of Analysts
Strong Buy/Buy 4
Hold 11
Strong Sell 1

As of the latest financial data, the exchange rate stands at $1 = €0.8535. This recent downgrade from Jefferies highlights crucial factors that investors in ADP should consider moving forward.

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