Reform Surges as Labour Struggles and Trump Looms

The political landscape in the UK has undergone significant changes in 2025, influenced by a surge in the Reform Party, struggles within the Labour Party, and the unpredictable behaviour of former US President Donald Trump. As the year draws to a close, key moments have shaped the direction of the nation’s politics.
Reform’s Ascendancy and Labour’s Challenges
The Reform Party, led by Nigel Farage, has emerged as a potent force, eclipsing both the Conservatives and Labour in popularity polls. This shift has altered the political dialogue, impacting how major parties address pressing issues like immigration.
- Reform boasts a membership reportedly surpassing that of the Conservatives and Labour.
- The party gained considerable power in local government following elections in May.
- Labour now navigates its policies under the constant scrutiny of Reform’s influence.
In contrast, the Labour Party under Sir Keir Starmer faces internal strife and public skepticism. Starmer’s authority was notably weakened after the government abandoned a controversial welfare reform plan that angered many party members.
Turning Points in 2025
Several defining moments highlighted the volatility of UK politics this year:
- The unexpected public emotional response from Chancellor Rachel Reeves during Prime Minister’s Questions.
- Errors in presenting the government’s budget by the Office for Budget Responsibility.
- The rise of splinter groups within Labour, complicating the party’s direction and unity.
These events have led to questions about Labour’s capability to govern effectively, despite holding a commanding majority in Parliament.
Trump’s Impact on International Relations
On the global stage, Trump’s actions have had unpredictable repercussions. His return to the White House and demands for increased European defence spending have generated anxiety within the UK and Europe.
- Trump’s diplomacy surrounding the Israel-Gaza conflict revealed his willingness to engage directly with complex international issues.
- In the UK, Trump remains a focal point of concern, overshadowing local political dynamics.
Looking Ahead to 2026
As 2026 approaches, political analysts anticipate a tumultuous year ahead. The UK is gearing up for ‘mega-May’, an election period that could reshape party landscapes:
- The Liberal Democrats may leverage local election successes to gain broader support.
- Reform is predicted to perform strongly in upcoming elections, potentially shifting the balance of power.
- Concerns remain regarding Starmer’s leadership, with speculation about potential challenges from within the Labour Party.
European leaders are also preparing for potential shifts in alliances, particularly concerning Ukraine’s future and its implications for security across the continent. The outcome of these dynamics will play a crucial role in determining the political climate in the UK and beyond in the coming year.
As political tensions rise, the interconnected nature of global affairs will remain a critical factor influencing both government policies and public sentiment in 2026.




