The performance of fantasy football players heavily relies on their matchups. Understanding the strengths and weaknesses of opposing teams can significantly influence player selection. For Week 14, this article examines key matchups, highlighting players to start or sit based on their matchup points.
Week 14 Fantasy Football Matchups: Should You Start Justin Jefferson?
The analysis merges metrics on past performances with predictions of high-scoring games. A scoring system rates matchups from one to one hundred. A score of one indicates a poor matchup, while a hundred is favorable. The focus here will be on players with a matchup points total of 80 or above, as well as those below 20.
Favorable Matchups for Week 14
- Quarterback: J.J. McCarthy (MIN vs. WSH)
- Running Backs:
- Aaron Jones and Jordan Mason (MIN vs. WSH)
- Travis Etienne (JAX vs. IND)
Washington is struggling against the run, ranking last in planned rush fantasy points per game (FPPG) since Week 10. Jones is a must-start if healthy.
After a disappointing Week 13, Etienne faces a Colts defense that has struggled against the run.
- Wide Receivers:
- Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison (MIN vs. WSH)
- Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs (GB vs. CHI)
Despite recent frustrations, Jefferson’s matchup against weak coverage metrics suggests he should be in starting lineups.
The Bears’ pass defense presents a favorable opportunity for both Packers wide receivers.
- Tight Ends:
- Dalton Kincaid (BUF vs. CIN)
- Juwan Johnson (NO at TB)
Should he return from injury, Kincaid faces a Bengals team that is allowing the most FPPG to tight ends.
Johnson’s favorable matchup against the Buccaneers makes him a strong candidate for tight end production.
The Washington Commanders have vulnerabilities in their pass defense. McCarthy may be a reliable QB2 or Superflex option for this matchup.
Least Favorable Matchups for Week 14
- Quarterback: Caleb Williams (CHI vs. NO)
- Running Backs:
- Kareem Hunt (KC vs. HOU)
- Jaylen Warren and Kenneth Gainwell (PIT at BAL)
Hunt’s low-floor potential makes him a risky start against a tough Texans defense.
With Baltimore shutting down rushing yards, both players are better left on the bench.
- Wide Receivers:
- Rome Odunze and DJ Moore (CHI at GB)
Recent performances have not been favorable, making these receivers less reliable options this week.
With inconsistent performances, Williams faces a Saint’s defense that has limited fantasy points on vertical passes.
- Cole Kmet and Colston Loveland (CHI at GB)
Challenging matchups against a strong Packers defense suggest avoiding both players this week.
Despite a good Week 13, Engram faces a Raiders defense that has limited tight end production.
By considering these matchups, fantasy managers can make informed decisions ahead of Week 14. Key players with favorable or unfavorable matchups can help optimize your lineup and maximize scoring potential.
