The migration patterns of Canadian snowbirds are shifting due to the current U.S. political climate. Traditionally, many Canadians head south during the winter months to states like Florida, Arizona, and California. However, rising tensions in U.S.-Canada relations have prompted some to reconsider their travel plans.
Change in Travel Plans for Canadian Snowbirds
Jo-Ann Rowe from Toronto has opted to skip her annual trip to Fort Lauderdale, Florida this winter. Rowe, a snowbird for a decade, cited comments made by U.S. President Donald Trump regarding Canada becoming the 51st state as a pivotal factor in her decision. Feeling unappreciated and concerned about the political climate, she plans to spend her winter in Puerto Vallarta, Mexico instead.
Decrease in Snowbird Numbers
This year, a significant number of Canadian travelers are expected to modify their winter migration. A survey by Snowbird Advisor revealed that about 70% of respondents plan to spend the winter in the U.S., reflecting a nearly 15% drop compared to the previous year. As snowbird season approaches, there’s a clear trend of selecting patriotism over tradition.
- A forecast projects a 3.2% decline in international tourism in 2025.
- U.S. President Donald Trump’s rhetoric has contributed to a shift in snowbird travel habits.
Jacqueline and Carey Ellingson, who previously wintered in Yuma, Arizona, have also altered their plans. The couple sold their home in Arizona due to rising costs and a desire for a new setting. They now intend to spend time in Playa del Carmen, Mexico, emphasizing that political tensions influenced their choice.
Economic Impact on Florida
The absence of Canadian snowbirds poses a significant threat to the Florida economy. Data from Visit Florida indicates that Canadians constituted 27% of international visitors in 2024. However, statistics show visitor growth year-over-year fell by nearly 17% in early 2025. This decline carries profound implications for local businesses that rely on Canadian tourism.
Local Reactions and Concerns
Josh Levy, the mayor of Hollywood, Florida, noted the economic contributions of Canadian visitors. The presence of snowbirds supports over half a million jobs in the state. Yet, local business owners express concern over dwindling Canadian clientele, a trend that could threaten their profitability.
- Sales in establishments like Dairy Belle, which rely heavily on Canadian customers, are expected to decline.
- Hotels, such as the Atlantic Hotel and Spa, have reported a noticeable drop in Canadian occupancy rates.
Future Outlook
As Canadian buyers and sellers trend downward in Florida, real estate activity is also affected. Canadian buyers represented 18% of international real estate transactions in Florida; however, recent reports suggest a significant decrease in new purchases this year.
Conclusion
The evolving U.S. political landscape is reshaping the vacation habits of Canadian snowbirds. With many choosing to vacation elsewhere, Florida faces potential economic challenges. Local leaders hope for a resolution to the tensions, which could bring snowbirds back to their traditional winter retreats.
