Musetti vs. Fritz: 2025 Nitto ATP Finals Match Preview & Odds

On November 10, 2025, Lorenzo Musetti and Taylor Fritz are set to clash in the Nitto ATP Finals Round Robin. Musetti, currently ranked No. 9, faces off against No. 6 Fritz in a hard court match. According to BetMGM Sportsbook, Fritz enters the match as the favorite with odds of -235, while Musetti is the underdog at +180.
Musetti vs. Fritz Match Breakdown
This match promises to be exciting, with both players boasting notable statistics. Here are the details for the matchup:
- Tournament: Nitto ATP Finals
- Round: Round Robin
- Date: November 10, 2025
- Court Surface: Hard
Current Form and Betting Odds
According to the latest betting odds, Musetti has a 29.9% implied probability of winning, while Fritz stands at 70.1%. Here’s a closer look at their betting lines:
- Musetti’s odds to win: +180
- Fritz’s odds to win: -235
Player Performance Stats
Analyzing the performance of both players on hard courts in 2025 reveals significant insights:
| Player | Match Record | Service Game Win Percentage | Return Game Win Percentage | Break Point Conversion |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | 24-14 | 80.8% (407/504) | 26.6% (131/492) | 38.9% (116/298) |
| Taylor Fritz | 29-13 | 85.1% (service games) | 24.3% (return games) | 38.6% (107/277) |
Recent Tournament Performance
In his last outing, Musetti reached the final of the Belgrade Open, where he was narrowly defeated by No. 5 Novak Djokovic. The match ended with scores of 6-4, 3-6, 5-7 on November 8.
Conversely, Fritz’s most recent performance was a disappointment. He faced No. 16 Alexander Bublik in the Round of 16 at the Rolex Paris Masters on October 30, losing in straight sets, 6-7, 2-6.
This match between Musetti and Fritz at the 2025 Nitto ATP Finals is anticipated to be a thrilling encounter as each player strives for a pivotal victory in their Round Robin campaign.



