The New York Yankees recently changed their center field strategy by extending a qualifying offer to outfielder Trent Grisham. This move could impact both Grisham’s future and the Yankees’ roster decisions for the upcoming seasons.
Yankees Extend Qualifying Offer to Grisham
On November 16, 2023, the Yankees offered Grisham a one-year contract worth $22.025 million. He must decide whether to accept this offer by November 18. If he accepts, he will remain with the Yankees through 2024 but will miss the chance to enter free agency until the following season.
Grisham’s Breakout Season
Grisham, age 29, has exceeded expectations during the 2025 MLB season after starting as a projected fourth outfielder. He became a key offensive player, hitting 34 home runs and achieving a 129 weighted runs created plus (wRC+), both ranking among the top three center fielders in the league.
- 34 Home Runs: Among the top in MLB.
- 129 wRC+: Indicates exceptional offensive production.
Despite his success, there are concerns regarding his previous performances. Before this season, he logged a 95 wRC+, which is below the league average. Some teams may hesitate to offer long-term contracts, given his inconsistent batting history prior to 2025.
Potential Impact on Free Agency
Should Grisham choose to decline the qualifying offer, he may face a challenging free-agent market. Teams that exceed the competitive balance tax would have to forfeit their second- and fifth-highest draft picks, along with $1 million in international signing bonuses to sign him. Revenue-sharing teams would lose only their third-highest draft selection.
If Grisham leaves New York without signing a new deal, the Yankees would receive a compensatory draft pick in 2026 after the fourth round.
Concerns and Future Outlook
While Grisham’s offensive metrics have improved, his defensive skills may be in question. He has shown a decline in sprint speed over the past two seasons, placing him in the 32nd percentile this season. This decline has contributed to his poorer performance in center field, where he ranked among the least effective players by outs above average.
In the event of Grisham’s exit, the Yankees will need to address their center field situation. Cody Bellinger has also faced defensive challenges but has performed well in corner outfield positions. With limited quality center field options in free agency this offseason, finding a suitable replacement could pose difficulties for the Yankees.
Conclusion
The decision to extend a qualifying offer to Trent Grisham marks a pivotal moment for the Yankees as they navigate their roster for the 2026 season. His choice will significantly influence their center field strategy, especially if they prioritize re-signing Bellinger. The outcome of this decision will set the tone for the Yankees’ offseason moves and their quest for stronger overall performance.
