A recent poll from the renowned J.L. Partners indicates that a significant portion of New Yorkers is considering leaving the city if Zohran Mamdani is elected as mayor. As the election date approaches on November 4, 2025, nearly one million residents have expressed their intent to relocate, prompting serious economic concerns.
New Yorkers’ Intention to Leave Amid Mamdani’s Campaign
According to the survey, 9% of New Yorkers, equating to around 765,000 individuals, would leave the city under a Mamdani administration. Additionally, over two million residents, about 25% of the population, have stated they would “consider” making a similar move.
The Economic Impact of Potential Exodus
The implications of this potential outflow are dire. A mass exodus could substantially alter New York City’s demographic and economic landscape. As highlighted by pollster James Johnson, the departure of high earners could erode the city’s tax base, severely affecting city finances and the funding of public services.
- 7% of individuals earning over $250,000 would definitely leave.
- 12% of voters aged 50 to 64 confirmed their plans to exit.
- Concerns are particularly pronounced in Staten Island, where 21% indicated an intention to leave.
Such a downturn in the affluent population poses risks not only to tax revenue but also to the real estate market. A decline in demand for luxury housing could destabilize property values across the boroughs.
Mamdani’s Tax Policies and Their Reception
Mamdani’s campaign heavily promotes the increased taxation of wealthy individuals. While his “tax the rich” rhetoric resonates with progressive voters, it instills fear among those who stand to lose financially. Responses to the poll show that a significant portion of the affluent demographic is worried about their financial futures should Mamdani take office.
Polling Landscape Ahead of the 2025 Election
Currently, Mamdani holds a 6.6-point lead over his closest rival, former Governor Andrew Cuomo. Polling by RealClearPolitics shows Mamdani has a commanding lead of 14.5 points. The election atmosphere is charged with a high voter turnout, as 735,317 ballots had already been cast as of Sunday.
Divided Opinions on Mamdani’s Leadership
New Yorkers appear split on Mamdani’s potential leadership. Supporters envision a more equitable and affordable city, while detractors foresee serious consequences. The grim sentiments captured in the poll illustrate the anxiety many feel about Mamdani’s proposed reforms.
- Among those opposing Mamdani, descriptors such as “disaster” and “hell” frequently arise.
- In contrast, supporters express hope for change and a fair distribution of wealth.
This division in public sentiment highlights the challenges that could arise if New York ultimately deals with a mass migration of its wealthiest residents. The coming months will be crucial in determining not just the future mayor, but the overall trajectory of New York City’s economy and social fabric.
