The 2025 Virginia Gubernatorial Election is set to take place, marking a significant event in the state’s political landscape. This election could potentially introduce the first woman governor in Virginia’s history. Republican Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears is challenging Democratic U.S. Representative Abigail Spanberger, who aims to succeed term-limited Republican Governor Glenn Youngkin. Voters will also select a new lieutenant governor, attorney general, and representatives for the state House of Delegates.
Election Context and Historical Significance
The gubernatorial races in Virginia and neighboring New Jersey serve as important indicators of national voter sentiment following presidential elections. In recent history, both states have provided insights into how the current occupant of the White House is perceived by the electorate. Virginia has experienced a noticeable political shift in the last two decades, particularly influenced by growth in the Northern Virginia suburbs, which tend to favor Democratic candidates.
Financial Landscape of the Campaign
Throughout the campaign, Spanberger has maintained a financial lead, amassing approximately $66 million, while Earle-Sears raised around $35 million. At the final stretch of the campaign, Spanberger had about $4.1 million remaining in her campaign coffers compared to Earle-Sears’ $1.3 million.
- Key Candidates:
- Winsome Earle-Sears (Republican, Lt. Governor)
- Abigail Spanberger (Democrat, U.S. Representative)
- Financial Contributions:
- Spanberger: $66 million
- Earle-Sears: $35 million
Key Races in Virginia’s Election
The lieutenant governor’s race features Democratic State Senator Ghazala Hashmi, who won her primary decisively, facing Republican talk-radio host John Reid. Reid’s campaign faced controversy following allegations concerning an inappropriate social media account, which he has denied. Additionally, the contest for attorney general has stirred debate, with incumbent Republican Jason Miyares facing former Democratic Delegate Jay Jones. Jones has issued an apology for past incendiary comments regarding a Republican figure.
State House of Delegates and Legislative Control
The election will also determine the control of the state House of Delegates, which currently holds a slim Democratic majority of 51 seats to 48. One seat remains vacant. Notably, the Virginia State Senate will not hold elections this year.
Voting Details and Turnout Expectations
Polls will close at 7 p.m. ET on Election Day. All registered voters in Virginia are eligible to participate. As of early September, there were about 6.3 million registered voters in the state. Voter turnout for the 2021 gubernatorial election was approximately 55%. In advance of this election, nearly 987,000 ballots had already been cast.
Looking Ahead
After the election on Tuesday, there will be 364 days until the 2026 midterm elections and 1,099 days until the 2028 presidential election. The outcomes of these races will not only impact Virginia’s immediate political landscape but could also resonate nationally as parties prepare for future contests.
