UFC 321 is nearly upon us, featuring an exciting heavyweight clash between Alexander Volkov and Jailton Almeida. This event will take place in the heavyweight division, where both fighters are eager to move up the ranks.
Fight Preview: Volkov vs. Almeida
Alexander Volkov (38-11), currently ranked No. 2, is a towering figure at 6-foot-7 with an 80-inch reach. He has an impressive track record in the UFC, holding a 12-5 record since 2016. Volkov’s last match was against Ciryl Gane, where he lost in a closely contested decision. He aims to secure a title shot with a victory over Almeida.
Jailton Almeida (22-3), the rising star ranked No. 5, stands at 6-foot-3 with a 79-inch reach. His UFC journey has been impressive, featuring an 8-1 record since his debut in 2022. Following a loss to Curtis Blaydes, Almeida rebounded with impressive first-round finishes against Alexandr Romanov and Serghei Spivac.
Current Betting Odds
Here are the latest betting odds for the fight:
- Alexander Volkov: +164
- Jailton Almeida: -198
- Over 1.5 rounds: -130
- Under 1.5 rounds: +100
Path to Victory for Volkov
Despite losing to Gane, Volkov showcased his striking ability, landing 105 significant strikes compared to Gane’s 48. His size and striking power are critical assets. He averages 4.97 significant strikes per minute and possesses a formidable clinch game with dangerous knee strikes and elbows.
If Volkov can defend against Almeida’s takedown attempts, he may maintain control and leverage his kickboxing skills. Successful defense in the wrestling department will be vital for him to emerge victorious.
Path to Victory for Almeida
Almeida’s grappling prowess sets him apart in this matchup. He has secured 13 submissions throughout his career, demonstrating his ability to neutralize opponents’ strengths. Although Volkov boasts a 72% takedown defense, Almeida excels in making strong grapplers appear vulnerable.
Almeida will likely aim to take the fight to the ground. If he can secure a takedown, he may exploit Volkov’s fatigue in the later rounds, thus increasing his chances of winning by submission.
Final Prediction
This heavyweight bout features a classic clash of styles. Volkov, with his striking background, faces a formidable grappler in Almeida. Although Volkov is often underestimated, his recent performances indicate he is a serious contender. However, Almeida’s submission skills may prove too challenging for Volkov.
The prediction leans towards Jailton Almeida as the betting favorite, largely due to his grappling strength. However, Volkov’s striking ability could lead to an upset if he can withstand Almeida’s initial offensive attempts.
Final Pick
Jailton Almeida (-198); Over 1.5 Rounds (-130)
