Anti-Trump Movement Approaches Critical 3.5% Activism Milestone

The recent “No Kings” rallies marked a significant moment in the ongoing anti-Trump movement, with nearly seven million participants nationwide. This protest is considered one of the largest single-day demonstrations in U.S. history. Coordinated by various organizers, including the group Indivisible, these events took place across cities and small towns, emphasizing local participation.
Understanding the No Kings Protests
The “No Kings” rallies were designed to mobilize communities without requiring participants to travel far from home. This approach encouraged local activism, with organizers advocating for individuals to host protests within their own neighborhoods instead of traveling to central locations.
Key Findings from Recent Research
A study from the Kennedy School at Harvard University highlights a notable trend: the rise in anti-Trump protests in regions traditionally seen as conservative. This research identifies a marked increase in counties with anti-Trump demonstrations during his second term compared to the first term.
- Counties hosting anti-Trump protests saw a significant increase.
- The median protest county had a higher voting rate for Trump in the 2024 elections than for Harris.
The 3.5% Rule in Activism
Erica Chenoweth, a prominent researcher at the Kennedy School, emphasizes the importance of reaching a critical threshold for protest movements. Chenoweth’s work, which explores successful campaigns against authoritarianism, highlights the “3.5% rule.”
- Successful movements often require at least 3.5% of the population actively participating.
- This percentage translates to nearly 12 million people in the United States.
According to Chenoweth’s findings, nonviolent protest movements tend to fare better than violent ones. As the “No Kings” rallies demonstrate, gathering momentum and appealing to broader demographics is crucial for sustained success.
Growing Momentum for Change
The growth in participation for these protests is notable. For instance, the “Hands Off” protests in April drew approximately three million attendees, while the first “No Kings” rally in June saw around five million. The recent turnout of nearly seven million reflects a significant upward trend in activism.
With escalating numbers, reaching the 12 million participant goal set by the 3.5% rule appears increasingly attainable. The anti-Trump movement, characterized by its resilience and local engagement, is evolving rapidly and making its mark in unprecedented ways.