Recent polling data indicates a significant shift in public opinion regarding Québec Premier François Legault’s leadership. A survey conducted by SOM, published in La Presse, reveals that a staggering 74% of Quebecers believe Legault should step down before the upcoming general elections in 2026.
Polling Results on Legault’s Leadership
Despite expressing intentions to seek a third term, only 16% of the population supports his reelection in the fall of 2026. The survey highlighted a growing dissatisfaction with his governance, with 31% advocating for his resignation before the end of his current term and 43% preferring that he completes his term but then exit politics.
Demographics of Dissatisfaction
- 74% want Legault to leave before the elections.
- Support for his possible reelection has dwindled to 16%, down from 33% in December 2024.
- Among younger voters aged 25-34, nearly 80% demand his resignation or departure after his term.
- Women express even lower support for his reelection, standing at 13% compared to 19% for men.
- Legault’s approval ratings are particularly low among individuals earning over $150,000, exceeding 70% dissatisfaction.
Public Sentiment and Political Implications
The dissatisfaction reflects a broader sentiment of “power fatigue” facing Legault’s government. Vincent Bouchard, vice-president of SOM, noted that the issue lies not with the policies but with the leadership itself. Currently, Legault faces a looming challenge, as 60% of Quebecers report being completely or somewhat dissatisfied with his performance.
Who’s Next? Potential Successors
As discussions around leadership transition arise, no clear successor has emerged within the CAQ (Coalition Avenir Québec) party. The top contenders, Sonia LeBel and Simon Jolin-Barrette, each attract only 14% of potential support. Many Quebecers remain undecided, with over a third unsure of who could take over if Legault steps down.
Popularity of Other Political Figures
- 26% of Quebecers believe Paul St-Pierre Plamondon would make the best premier.
- Legault ranks second, receiving 14% support as the preferred leader.
- Pablo Rodriguez, the new Liberal leader, captures 12% of potential support.
- Éric Duhaime trails closely at 10%, especially strong in the Quebec City area.
Conclusion
The persistence of discontent towards Legault’s leadership may signal an impending shift in the political landscape of Québec. With substantial portions of the population aiming for new leadership, the question remains whether Legault can turn the tide in time for the next general election.
