Tropical Storm Jerry is poised to impact the Leeward Islands tonight, with the potential to strengthen into a hurricane by Friday. As it approaches these islands, Jerry is currently battling against strong wind shear, which is affecting its intensity.
Jerry’s Path and Forecast
Moving toward the west-northwest, Jerry is expected to slow down before it curls northward into the central Atlantic Ocean. While it does not pose a threat to the U.S. mainland, its trajectory remains closely monitored.
Tropical Storm Watches in Effect
- Antigua
- Barbuda
- Anguilla
- St. Kitts
- Nevis
- Montserrat
- St. Barthelemy
- St. Martin
- Sint Maarten
- Saba
- St. Eustatius
- Guadeloupe
Residents in these areas should be prepared for tropical storm-force winds and could experience up to 6 inches of rain from tonight into Friday. After passing these islands, Jerry is forecasted to become a hurricane, likely between Friday and Saturday.
Projected Future Movements
Following its northward turn, Jerry is expected to make a sharp eastward shift by Monday and will pass well east of Bermuda. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) emphasizes that while the center’s path is defined, tropical cyclone impacts, such as heavy rain and high surf, may extend beyond this forecasted route.
Monitoring Additional Areas
The NHC is also keeping an eye on another area in the North Atlantic near the Azores, which may develop into a subtropical or tropical storm. However, cooler waters and stronger wind shear are anticipated to hinder its development in the near future. The chances of formation for this area will be assessed over the next few days.
Background on Tropical Storm Jerry
Jerry emerged as the 10th storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, forming more than two weeks later than the typical pace for this time of year. The average date for the 10th named storm is September 22, based on a 30-year average from the NHC.
Stay updated with El-Balad for the latest developments on Tropical Storm Jerry and other weather phenomena impacting the Atlantic hurricane season.
