The sixth week of the regular NFL season is upon us, and several players are generating buzz in the fantasy football landscape. This article focuses on notable performances, regression candidates, and key statistics for tight ends lacking production relative to their opportunity on the field.
Regression Files Week 6: McMillan, Shaheed, Flournoy Lead Highlights
Tracking player performance is essential for fantasy football success. Analyzing metrics like targets per route run (TPRR), air yards, and expected touchdowns can illuminate players likely to experience positive or negative regression. Let’s delve into the highlights.
Top Tight Ends by Targets Per Route Run
Analysis of tight ends reveals some standout players based on their TPRR. Here’s a list of the top tight ends as of Week 5:
- Noah Fant: 33%
- Jake Ferguson: 32%
- Darren Waller: 25%
- Jonnu Smith: 25%
- Harold Fannin: 25%
- Trey McBride: 24%
- Evan Engram: 24%
- Brock Bowers: 24%
- Dalton Kincaid: 24%
- Tyler Warren: 24%
- Sam LaPorta: 23%
- Brenton Strange: 23%
- Dalton Schultz: 22%
- Juwan Johnson: 21%
Fant, despite recent injury issues, has showcased the ability to command targets effectively. Meanwhile, Waller continues to be a significant target in the Miami offense, particularly with Tyreek Hill absent.
Players to Watch: Positive Regression Candidates
- Tetairoa McMillan (CAR): McMillan has seen the eighth most air yards among wide receivers despite the Panthers’ struggles. With a 27% target rate on his routes, his potential could rise if he receives more scoring opportunities.
- Chase Brown (CIN): With a notable 42% target share in negative game scripts, Brown remains a strong RB3 candidate. Increased check-down passes could enhance his value in future matchups.
- Calvin Ridley (TEN): Ridley’s air yards indicate promise. However, the offensive efficiency may limit his scoring opportunities.
- Cam Ward (TEN): As the rookie quarterback faces a vulnerable Raiders defense, Ward’s touchdown luck could change soon.
Negative Regression Candidates to Monitor
- Ryan Flournoy (DAL): Flournoy’s recent success may be unsustainable, particularly if Kavontae Turpin returns to the lineup.
- Rashid Shaheed (NO): Despite a stellar performance in Week 5, Shaheed’s inconsistent target opportunities make him a high-risk player.
- Jared Goff (DET): Goff has an inflated touchdown rate that may regress as the season progresses.
- Aaron Rodgers (PIT): Similarly, Rodgers’ current success may not be sustainable due to the team’s run-heavy tendencies.
Understanding these trends and statistics can provide fantasy football owners with actionable insights as they navigate through the season. Watch these players closely as Week 6 unfolds, and make adjustments accordingly to maximize your team’s performance.
