Jessica Pegula vs. Hailey Baptiste: Prediction & Betting Odds for 2025 WTA Wuhan

In an exciting matchup at the 2025 WTA Wuhan Open, Jessica Pegula is set to face Hailey Baptiste in the Round of 32. This all-American clash takes place at the Optics Valley International Tennis Center as Pegula, currently ranked sixth in the world, looks to advance in the tournament.
Match Preview: Jessica Pegula vs. Hailey Baptiste
The 31-year-old Jessica Pegula has made a significant impact in the 2025 tennis season. She has won three titles this year: ATX Open Austin, Charleston Open, and the Bad Homburg Open. Additionally, she reached the finals at both the Adelaide and Miami tournaments and made a strong run in the US Open, falling short in the semifinals against Aryna Sabalenka.
Pegula has recorded a service game win percentage of 76% and boasts a 46-18 match record for the year. Her ranking in the top echelon of women’s tennis reflects her consistent performance on hard courts.
Conversely, her opponent, Hailey Baptiste, aged 23, has also shown promise this season. Currently ranked 55th globally, Baptiste has reached the quarterfinals in Singapore and recorded several Round of 16 appearances at major tournaments, including the French Open. With a 56% success rate and a service game win percentage of 72%, Baptiste has demonstrated her competitive edge throughout the season.
- Jessica Pegula: Current Ranking – 6, W-L Record – 46-18, Year-to-Date Titles – 3
- Hailey Baptiste: Current Ranking – 55, W-L Record – 28-22, Year-to-Date Titles – 0
Head-to-Head Record
Pegula and Baptiste have faced each other twice in the past, with Pegula winning both encounters. Their previous matches include:
Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|
2022 | Washington | Round of 32 | Jessica Pegula | 6-2, 6-2 |
2021 | Berlin | Round of 32 | Jessica Pegula | 6-6 RET |
Betting Odds and Predictions
Pegula is favored in this matchup. BetMGM lists her odds at 1/8, suggesting a 91% likelihood of winning the match. In comparison, Baptiste’s odds stand at 24/5.
- Jessica Pegula to Win: 1/8
- Hailey Baptiste to Win: 24/5
- Total Games: 19/20
- Pegula -5.5 (Game Handicap): 22/25
- Predicted Outcome: Pegula in straight sets
With a strong track record on hard courts, Pegula’s focus and accuracy will be key factors in this match. Baptiste will need to maintain her intensity if she hopes to challenge Pegula’s dominant play.