This week’s analysis of fantasy defenses reveals a variety of unexpected performances. Notably, while six of the top ten defenses performed well, the anticipated Tier One defenses failed to deliver. For instance, the Minnesota Vikings faced a lackluster matchup against Dillon Gabriel and the Browns but came away with only three fantasy points.
Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Rams faced a decimated San Francisco 49ers squad yet managed a mere one fantasy point. The Seattle Seahawks also disappointed expectations, scoring -3 points against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This lack of adjustment to mid-week injuries hindered their performance.
Conversely, the New Orleans Saints, Tennessee Titans, and Washington Commanders finished among the top five defenses. The New England Patriots also made an impressive showing in Buffalo on Sunday night. While these performances may not be sustainable, adjustments in defensive rankings based on opponents’ quality may offer future improvement.
Fantasy Defense Rankings Overview
The current rankings are classified into tiers, with Tier One representing elite plays, followed by strong options in Tier Two, borderline top-10 defenses in Tier Three, deeper league targets in Tier Four, and low-value options in Tier Five.
Top Tier One Defenses
- Denver Broncos (vs. New York Jets) – BOD Ranking: 6
- 1st in pressure rate.
- Averages eight fantasy points per game.
- Jets allow 8.2 points per game to opposing defenses.
- Philadelphia Eagles (at New York Giants) – BOD Ranking: 18
- 6th in EPA per play allowed.
- Giants give up 8.8 fantasy points per game.
- Pittsburgh Steelers (vs. Cleveland Browns) – BOD Ranking: 7
- 2nd in turnover rate.
- Averages 9 fantasy points per game.
- Browns allow 10 fantasy points per game.
- Green Bay Packers (vs. Cincinnati Bengals) – BOD Ranking: 15
- 5th in pressure rate.
- Bengals allow 12.4 fantasy points per game.
Strong Tier Two Defenses
- Indianapolis Colts (vs. Arizona Cardinals) – BOD Ranking: 5
- Averages 10.2 fantasy points per game.
- Cardinals concede 8 points per game to defenses.
- Los Angeles Rams (at Baltimore Ravens) – BOD Ranking: 12
- 10th in pressure rate.
- Ravens may rest players ahead of a bye.
- Cleveland Browns (at Pittsburgh Steelers) – BOD Ranking: 9
- 2nd in conversion rate allowed.
- New England Patriots (at New Orleans Saints) – BOD Ranking: 10
- 8th in opponents’ scoring rate.
Analyzing Matchups
When evaluating defenses, it is essential to consider opponents’ capabilities. The Titans and Raiders, preparing to face each other, have both struggled but could benefit from favorable matchups. The Titans allow the second-most fantasy points to opposing defenses, while the Raiders follow closely behind.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have consistently scored well this season, averaging 10.6 fantasy points per game. Their opportunistic nature capitalizes on turnovers, though their defensive rankings might be overstated against particularly strong offenses.
Weaker Options
- Tier Five defenses are typically not recommended for play, including:
- Atlanta Falcons (vs. Buffalo Bills) – BOD Ranking: 17
- New York Jets (vs. Denver Broncos) – BOD Ranking: 30
This week’s fantasy defense analysis indicates that while certain teams may shine, strategic planning around matchups and player performance is vital for success. Keep an eye on injuries and overall team stats as the season progresses.
