Risks of US Seizing Iran’s Uranium: A Million Things Could Fail

As tensions rise around Iran’s nuclear program, the risks associated with a potential US operation to seize uranium from the nation have come into sharper focus. Experts warn that executing such a mission could entail significant military and logistical challenges.
Challenges in US Military Operations Against Iran
One of the major concerns is how Iran might react to US actions aimed at its nuclear facilities. According to Alex Plitsas, a former US defense official, such an operation would be fraught with danger. He stresses that US ground troops would be vulnerable while operating out of Isfahan, a city located approximately 300 miles inland from the Persian Gulf.
Ground Troops’ Vulnerability
- Isfahan is Iran’s third-largest city.
- Medical evacuations would be challenging due to the distance.
- US troops could face threats from anti-aircraft fire and ground attacks.
Military experts suggest that if the operation were to proceed, it might involve capturing an airfield to support US operations. The 82nd Airborne Division, known for securing airfields, could be integral to establishing a base for this mission.
Seizing Uranium: Options and Risks
Once US forces secure the enriched uranium, officials would need to decide whether to remove it from Iran or dilute it on-site. There have been discussions about the benefits of diluting the uranium domestically rather than attempting to transport it. However, Jonathan Ruhe, an expert from the Jewish Institute for National Security of America, warns that this alternative is complex and time-consuming.
- Removing uranium would be faster and would allow for dilution in the US.
- Securing approximately half a ton of weapons-grade uranium presents serious risks.
Ruhe highlights that multiple factors could derail the mission. “There are a million things that could go wrong,” he explains, emphasizing the substantial risks involved in any attempt to seize and remove uranium from Iran.




