The northeastern United States has been experiencing an especially harsh winter, with icy conditions and significant snowfall. As February commences, the risk of impactful snowstorms increases, notably due to the typical weather patterns of this month.
February: A Peak for Northeast Snowstorms
February is historically the snowiest month in the Northeast, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). This trend is particularly evident along the Interstate 95 corridor, which stretches from Virginia to Maine. Cities along this route often experience more snowfall in February than during any other month.
- Virginia
- Maryland
- Washington, D.C.
- Philadelphia
- New York City
- Boston
- Maine
Record Snowfalls and Previous Storms
This winter has already seen above-average snowfall in major cities, primarily due to a catastrophic storm that struck in January. The severe weather patterns have contributed to heightened snow totals:
| City | Snowfall (inches) | Average Snowfall (Winter) |
|---|---|---|
| New York City | 21 | 14 |
| Philadelphia | 16 | 10 |
| Washington, D.C. | Above Average | Average data not specified |
| Boston | Above Average | Average data not specified |
Changing Ocean Temperatures
The Atlantic Ocean plays a crucial role in February’s storm formation. Typically, sea surface temperatures begin to cool during this month, creating ideal conditions for snow. This winter, however, temperatures have dipped significantly, dropping as much as 15 degrees Fahrenheit below normal. These conditions, combined with cold Arctic air, have contributed to a snowy season.
Forecast and Future Storms
Despite the current cold snap, predictions indicate a warming trend in the coming weeks. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts above-normal temperatures for mid-to-late February. Although snowfall and ice can occur in warmer conditions, the likelihood of major storm activity may decline.
This winter could potentially rank as one of the coldest for some areas in the Eastern Seaboard, as recent trends show that the coldest winters occur with higher snowfall amounts. However, after the remarkable storms earlier this season, the chance of another blockbuster event appears less likely.
The Bigger Picture: Climate Change Impacts
The warmer winters over the past few years have provided an uncharacteristically mild experience for the Northeast. The last winter was recorded among the top third warmest despite brief cold spells. Moreover, as global temperatures rise due to climate change, snowfall is declining, leaving significant deficits across the region. New York City, for instance, faced a snowfall deficit of over three feet over the past two winters.
As the winter progresses, the Northeast will watch closely for any potential storms while facing the reality of an unseasonably warm climate affecting traditional winter weather patterns.
