Speculation is rising over potential defections from the Conservative Party to the Reform UK party. Recent developments have included significant figures announcing their departures, fueling interest in who might follow suit.
Braverman as a Potential Defector
Former Home Secretary Suella Braverman is currently positioned as the leading candidate to switch allegiance to Reform UK. Betting odds place her at 3/1 for a defection. She is closely followed by Esther McVey at 9/2 and Sir John Hayes at 6/1.
Political Landscape
Other prominent political figures are also garnering attention in this shifting landscape. Shadow Foreign Secretary Priti Patel is listed at 10/1 in the betting market.
Notable Candidates for Reform UK
- Suella Braverman: 3/1
- Esther McVey: 9/2
- Sir John Hayes: 6/1
- Priti Patel: 10/1
Kate Hoey and Others
On the Labour side, former minister Kate Hoey is seen as another strong candidate for joining Reform UK, currently rated at 11/10. Baron David Frost is also in contention, with odds of 2/1.
Market Analysis
William Kedjanyi, a political betting analyst at Star Sports, noted that the recent departures of Conservative figures have intensified curiosity about potential future moves. The appeal of Reform UK, under the leadership of Nigel Farage, appears to be stronger than anticipated.
Future Defections
As the political landscape evolves, the following Conservatives are speculated as potential defectors:
- Suella Braverman
- Esther McVey
- Sir John Hayes
- Priti Patel
As of now, there is a clear timeline for these political shifts. Any announced defections must occur by 7th May 2026 to be valid under current market conditions.
The coming weeks will be crucial for the Conservative Party as they brace for any potential changes in their ranks.
