The upcoming match between the Toronto Raptors and the Oklahoma City Thunder is set for January 25, 2026. This clash is pivotal for both teams as they vie for playoff positioning. Oklahoma City holds the league’s best record at 37–9, while the Raptors sit at 28–19.
Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
Both teams face significant injury challenges ahead of this matchup. The Raptors have three players listed as questionable:
- Gradey Dick – ankle issue
- Immanuel Quickley – listed for rest
- Scottie Barnes – knee management
Barnes’ status is particularly crucial, as he is a key contributor to Toronto’s offense and rebounding.
The Thunder’s injury report is more severe, with Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, and Kenrich Williams all sidelined. This situation increases the burden on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to lead both scoring and playmaking.
Historical Matchup: Raptors vs Thunder
Oklahoma City has historically dominated this matchup. The Thunder hold a 36–21 all-time advantage over the Raptors and have won the last four encounters. Specifically, in the last 20 meetings, the Thunder have achieved a 13–7 record against Toronto, showcasing strong performances at home.
| Season | Raptors Record vs OKC | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| All-Time | 21-36 | 11-17 | 10-19 |
| 2024-25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2023-24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2022-23 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
Key Statistics and Performance
Oklahoma City excels in several statistical categories, leading the NBA in scoring defense by allowing only 104.8 points per game. They also rank near the top offensively, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averaging 32.5 points. Chet Holmgren contributes significantly with his rebounding and defensive skills.
On the other hand, the Raptors focus on a balanced attack. Barnes averages 22.1 points and 8.5 rebounds per game, while Quickley adds another 18.7 points. Toronto is proficient in three-point shooting but tends to allow more points on the road, which could be a disadvantage against Oklahoma City’s fast-paced game.
| Stat Category | Thunder Rank | Raptors Rank |
|---|---|---|
| PPG | 118.2 (3rd) | 114.5 (9th) |
| Opp PPG | 104.8 (1st) | 110.2 (12th) |
| RPG | 45.1 (5th) | 43.8 (10th) |
| 3PT% | 37.2% (8th) | 36.8% (11th) |
Decisive Factors
The main factor will be Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s ability to dictate the pace and exploit gaps in Toronto’s guard play. Holmgren’s shot-blocking poses a significant challenge for Barnes in the paint. Conversely, Toronto’s success will hinge on their outside shooting and bench scoring, especially if Dick can play.
Game Prediction
Considering Oklahoma City’s strong defense and impressive home record, they are projected to win 115–108. However, if the Raptors can field a healthier lineup and deliver an excellent three-point shooting performance, they could very well upset the Thunder.
