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Is Southern Snow Coming This Weekend or Just Model Noise?

As winter approaches, a notable weather system is on the horizon for the Southeastern United States this weekend. While some excitement does surround the possibility of snowfall, experts warn that it may not evolve into a significant winter storm.

Snow Chances and Forecast

The forecast for this weekend indicates a growing possibility of light snow across the South, particularly on Sunday. A storm system is projected to move into the region starting late Saturday and is expected to continue into Sunday.

  • Most areas outside the Appalachians could experience snow flurries, with accumulations up to 1 inch.
  • There is a small chance that certain locations may receive more than 2 inches of snow.
  • This winter event is unlikely to be a major disruption for the region.
  • Regardless of snowfall amounts, colder temperatures will be felt across the South.

Residents are advised to prepare for these conditions by protecting their pipes, plants, and pets. Due to the fluid nature of this forecast, updates are recommended several times a day to stay informed about potential impacts.

Weather System Dynamics

A low-pressure system is anticipated to form in the northeastern Gulf and will move northeast along the Southeast coast. This trajectory will likely result in various precipitation types, including rain and possibly snow, on Sunday. Recent model updates have shown a consistent trend, indicating increasing confidence in this weather system.

However, uncertainties remain regarding the storm’s strength and its ability to attract cold air and moisture, both critical for significant snowfall. Depending on its path, heavier snow may also be possible in the Northeast if the system tracks closer to the coast.

Key Factors Influencing Snowfall

One significant advantage for snow development in the South is the presence of abundant cold air. Predictions indicate two surges of cold air will impact the region:

  • The first surge may lead to cold temperatures, with potential impacts felt as soon as Friday.
  • A second, more pronounced surge is expected late Saturday into Sunday, bringing overnight temperatures down to the teens and 20s.

Monday morning is also expected to see lower temperatures, particularly along the Atlantic coast and in Florida. However, the second air surge will bring drier continental air, which may hinder precipitation. Lower dew points suggest that unless significant snowfall develops, this dry air could limit the weather event’s impact.

Conclusion

As the weekend approaches, residents across the Southeast should keep an eye on the evolving weather conditions. While light snowfall may occur, current trends suggest this system is not likely to bring major disruptions. Stay alert and check back for further updates as the forecast develops.

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