Thunder vs. Heat: Predictions, Odds, and Top Picks for January 11

The Miami Heat are set to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder on January 11, 2026. The matchup will take place at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, with the game starting at 7 p.m. ET.
Thunder vs. Heat: Game Overview
The Oklahoma City Thunder enter the game as a considerable favorite, listed at 14.5 points against the Heat. The over/under for total points is set at 235.5.
Game Information
- Date: January 11, 2026
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- TV Coverage: FDSSUN and FDSOK
Betting Odds and Predictions
The Thunder are heavily favored with a moneyline of -901, while the Heat’s moneyline stands at +610. Experts predict a score of Thunder 122, Heat 111.
Betting Insights
- Thunder’s Record: 32 wins and 7 losses this season.
- Heat’s Record: 20 wins and 18 losses this season.
- Thunder Winning Percentage: 82.1% when favored.
- Heat Winning Percentage: 47.6% as underdogs.
The Thunder have consistently shown strength this season, recording 20 games that went over the 235.5 points mark. In contrast, the Heat have had 20 games surpassing this total as well.
Team Trends
Oklahoma City Thunder
- Recent Performance: 6 wins and 4 losses in their last 10 games.
- Average Points Scored: 121.3, ranking second overall.
- Points Allowed: 108.3, ranking first defensively.
Miami Heat
- Recent Performance: 5 wins and 5 losses in their last 10 games.
- Average Points Scored: 119.6, ranking fifth in the league.
- Points Allowed: 117.6, ranking 20th.
Key Players to Watch
Oklahoma City Thunder Leaders
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 31.9 points, 4.5 rebounds, 6.4 assists per game.
- Chet Holmgren: 18.2 points, 8.3 rebounds, 1.6 assists per game.
Miami Heat Leaders
- Norman Powell: 23.8 points, 3.7 rebounds, 2.7 assists per game.
- Bam Adebayo: 16.8 points, 9.6 rebounds, 2.6 assists per game.
The upcoming showdown on January 11 between the Miami Heat and the Oklahoma City Thunder promises to be an exciting encounter. With both teams maintaining a competitive edge this season, fans can look forward to a thrilling matchup at the Paycom Center.




