2025-26 CFB Playoff: Standings, Scenarios, and Bracket Predictions Post-Week 15

As the 2025-26 College Football Playoff (CFB) approaches, the standings, scenarios, and bracket predictions have become increasingly complicated after Week 15. Alabama’s chances for a playoff spot are in jeopardy following a significant defeat in the SEC Championship Game.

Alabama’s Playoff Position Uncertain

Ranked No. 9 currently, Alabama suffered a multi-score loss to Georgia. The Crimson Tide’s offense struggled, failing to score until the fourth quarter and playing without their top two running backs. This defeat leaves Alabama with a record of 10-3 and raises questions about their playoff viability.

Key Events Impacting Rankings

Several teams are closely vying for playoff spots, making the selection committee’s job challenging:

• Notre Dame: With a record of 10-2, they have two early losses, one to Miami and the other to Texas A&M.
• Miami: Also at 10-2, Miami’s losses came in tightly contested conference games against Louisville and SMU.

Head-to-Head Implications

Miami holds a head-to-head victory over Notre Dame, but this is not currently reflected in the rankings. The selection committee appears to favor Notre Dame over Miami, despite the direct matchup results. This scenario complicates the playoff picture as both teams qualify based on records alone.

Alabama’s Unique Situation

The selection committee is also weighing Alabama’s performance against Georgia. Despite reaching the championship game, the Crimson Tide’s three losses could be a critical factor. If they are to remain in contention for an at-large playoff spot, their overall performance, particularly in crucial games, will be scrutinized.

Potential Outcomes for the CFB Playoff

The fight for the final at-large playoff spot appears to be narrowing down to Alabama, Notre Dame, and Miami. Depending on how the committee values head-to-head matchups versus overall records, any of these teams could secure a playoff spot:

As the final rankings are determined, all eyes will be on how the committee evaluates these performances and the implications for the upcoming playoff brackets.